3 Flashcards
Political context of the 1997 GE
- The Conservatives managed to achieve reelection in 1992 depite the early 1990s recession
- Despite the recession ending in 1993, Black Wednesday had tarnished Conservative economic credibility
- Labour had elected John Smith as its party leader in 1992, but his death from a heart attack in 1994 paved the way for Tony Blair to become Labour leader
- Their manifesto ‘New Labour, New Life for Britain’ was released in 1996 and outlined five key pledges
When did John Major call the election and why was it so long
- Major called the election on Monday 17 March 1997
- This ensured the formal campaign would be unusually long, at six weeks
- Conservatives argued that a long campaign would expose Labour and allow the Conservative message to be heard.
Challenges faced by Conservative campaign 1997
- Rise of James Goldsmith’s Referendum Party advocating for an EU membership referendum, threatened Conservative voter base.
- Approximately 200 candidates opposed British membership of the single European currency, deviating from official Conservative policy.
- Cabinet Division: Chancellor Kenneth Clarke criticized Home Secretary Michael Howard’s European views as “paranoid and xenophobic nonsense.”
Conservative Party objective, central statement, and stategy in 1997
- Objective: Major aimed for a prolonged campaign to expose Labour’s alleged “hollowness.”
- Emphasis on Stability: Conservative campaign focused on stability, reflected in manifesto title ‘You can only be sure with the Conservatives.’
- Campaign Strategy: Use of the “New Labour, New Danger” poster depicting Tony Blair with demon eyes as a confrontational tactic
Labour campaign 1997
- emphasised the splits within the Conservative government and argued that the country needed a more centrist administration.
- reminiscent of those of Bill Clinton in 1992 and 96, focusing on centrist themes as well as adopting policies more commonly associated with the right, such as cracking down on crime and fiscal responsibility
- adopted the theme Things Can Only Get Better in their campaign and advertising
- Endorsements: ‘New Labour’ were endorsed by The Sun (front page “The Sun Backs Blair”) News of the World, The Times, as well as the Daily Mirror, The Independent and The Guardian.
Labour’s victory in 1997
- Largest parliamentary majority (179) to date.
- Described as akin to “an asteroid hitting the planet” by Professor Anthony King.
- Labour convinced electorate of ushering in a new age of prosperity with policies, organization, and optimistic tone.
The election was on the 1st May 1997
Factors Contributing to Labour 1997 Victory
- Charisma of Tony Blair.
- PR machine managed by Alastair Campbell and Peter Mandelson.
- Modernization of the party, including scrapping Clause IV.
- Seized middle ground of political spectrum, attracting voters further to the right.
Consequences for Conservative Party of 1997:
- Lowest percentage share of popular vote since 1832.
- party’s worst defeat since 1906
- Wiped out in Scotland and Wales.
- 17 MPs north of the Midlands, and with less than 20% of MPs in London
- Prominent Conservative MPs lost seats, including Michael Portillo, Malcolm Rifkind, and others.
- the unseating of seven Conservative Cabinet Ministers
- John Major resigned stating “When the curtain falls, it is time to get off the stage.”
- Party began its longest continuous period in opposition (13 years & less than 200 MPs)
- However, Conservative newcomers included Theresa May, Philip Hammond, Andrew Lansley and John Bercow
Liberal Democrats’ Performance 1997
- Doubled number of seats from 20 to 46.
- Utilized tactical voting against Conservatives
- won the highest number of seats by any third party since 1929
The Referendum Party 1997
Came fourth in terms of votes with 800,000 votes mainly from former Conservative voters, but won no seats in parliament.
The Party sought a referendum on the UK’s relationship with the EU
1997 GE Impact on Women Representation:
- Doubled number of women in parliament from 60 to 120.
- Labour had 101 female MPs, controversially described as “Blair Babes.”
- Seen as a watershed moment for women representation in the UK.
Notable Electoral Incidents of 1997 GE
- In Tatton, Labour and Liberal Democrats didn’t field candidates to support independent Martin Bell against Neil Hamilton (facing charges due to cash for questions).
- Winchester saw a contested result due to errors by election officials, leading to a by-election.
Infighting in the Conservative party after 1997
- One Nation group, Tory Reform Group, and Maastricht Rebels blamed each other for the defeat.
- Party chairman Brian Mawhinney attributed defeat to disillusionment with 18 years of Conservative rule.
- William Hague replaced Major, beating Kenneth Clarke and Michael Howard
- Hague steered the Conservatives to a successful result at the European parliamentary elections in June 1999, where the Conservatives gained 36 MEPs ahead of Labour’s 29.
- His Authority was challenged by appointment of Michael Portillo as Shadow Chancellor in 2000
- Bitter battle between factions supporting Hague and Portillo. Internecine war significantly contributed to Conservative Party’s subsequent election defeats in 2001 and beyond.
What were the five main pledges in Labour manifesto New Labour, New Life for Britain
- Class sizes to be cut to 30 or under for 5-, 6- and 7-year-olds by using money from the assisted places scheme.
- Fast track punishment for persistent young offenders, by halving the time from arrest to sentencing.
- Cut NHS waiting lists by treating an extra 100,000 patients as a first step by releasing £100 million saved from NHS red tape.
- Get 250,000 under-25-year-olds off benefit and into work by using money from a windfall levy on the privatised utilities.
- No rise in income tax rates, cut VAT on heating to 5%, and keeping inflation and interest rates as low as possible.
Notable Labour newcomers in 1997 GE
Hazel Blears, Ben Bradshaw, Yvette Cooper, Caroline Flint, Barry Gardiner, Alan Johnson, Ruth Kelly, John McDonnell, Stephen Twigg and Rosie Winterton, as well as future Scottish Labour Leader Jim Murphy and Lindsay Hoyle.
How was the Conservative majority eroded between 1992 - 1997
Following the 1992 GE, the Conservatives remained in government with 336 of the 651 House of Commons seats. Through a series of defections and by-election defeats, the government gradually lost its absolute majority in the House of Commons. By 1997, the Conservatives held only 324 House of Commons seats (and had not won a by-election since Richmond in 1989).
Stealing Tory clothes
- phrase used to describe ideological convergence since 1997.
- In 1997 GE, the attack line broke down, as if Labour was copying the Tories, why then were they dangerous (New labour New danger)
Labour’s focus on marginal seats
Ninety key marginal seats were chosen by party strategists to receive the focus of Labour’s attention. These were all seats which would fall to Labour on an 8% swing from the Tories. If Labour convinced enough voters to switch in these target seats, it would be handed a safe working majority.
Voters in these mainly ‘middle-English’ seats were bombarded with direct mail, canvassers (both in person and by phone), and some were even sent Labour videos in which Tony Blair set out his vision for a new Britain.
Labour’s plan was to win over those who are known as “switchers” - previous Tory voters who were disillusioned with the Government, but who were still unsure whether they could trust New Labour.
What did Tony Blair say on Day One of his campaign 1997
“I prefer to promise a limited number of things and get them done rather than promise the earth and not deliver,”
In Gloucester, one of the key seats
Setting out the reasons for his cautious approach
John Prescott’s role in 1997 campaign
dubbed Labour’s “Mr Motivator” by Tony Blair, was sent out on the ‘Prescott Express’, a huge coach that doubled as a campaign headquarters. During the campaign the deputy leader was set to cover 10,000 miles and visit 65 key marginals.
Tony Blair chicken John major
Tony Blair’s seeming unwillingness to engage in a head to head debate with John Major saw him labelled a “chicken” by the prime minister. To press the message, Tory Central Office employed a man in a chicken suit to follow Mr Blair.
The Tory chicken unleashed a menagerie of publicity stunts the like of which the British electorate had never seen before. By the end of this brief interlude, headless chickens, foxes, teddy bears and even a rhinoceros had all made a brief appearance on the political stage. Although exactly what causes they were trying to promote still remains unclear.
Tony Blair quotes Election night, May 2 1997
- “A new dawn has broken. Isn’t it wonderful? We always said that if we had the courage to change we could do it and we did it. The British people have put their trust in us. It is a moving and humbling experience.”
- “We have been elected as New Labour and we will govern as New Labour.”
Tony Blair Introduction to 1997 manifesto
“I have no time for the politics of envy.”
No. of seats won by parties in 1997
Labour won 418 seats
Conservatives won 165 seats
Lib Dems won 46 seats
SNP won 6 seats
UUP won 10 seats
Percentage of vote won by parties in 1997
Labour = 43.2%
Conservative = 30.7%
Lib Dems = 16.8%
SNP = 2.0%
UUP = 0.8%
Intresting 1997 General Election Demographics
- 71% voter turnout
- The Conservatives gained the highest proportion of votes in the South East at 41%
- 70% of non-white voters voted Labour
Big reasons why Conservatives lost
Thatcherism
- her policies divided the party
Europe
- pro-Europeans v. Eurosceptics
Economic decline
- recession at beginning of 80s & 90s. High unemployment, high inflation
Tory ‘sleaze
- sex & corruption scandals