2.9. - Null hypothesis testing Flashcards
Who came up with the idea of p-values?
Fisher
Who believed that there are 2 competing hypotheses?
Neyman and Pearson
What are 2 competing hypotheses?
Alternative hypothesis
Null hypothesis
What symbols represent the alternative hypothesis?
H1
What symbols represent the null hypothesis?
Ho
What does an alternative hypothesis state?
States that there will be a difference in outcome
What does a null hypothesis state?
States that there won’t be a difference in outcome
What are 2 types of alternative hypothesis?
Directional
Non-directional
What is a directional hypothesis also called?
One-tailed hypothesis
What is a non-directional hypothesis called?
Two-tailed hypothesis
What does NHST stand for?
Null Hypothesis Significance Testing
What is a test statistic?
A statistic for which we know how frequently different values occur
How do we calculate test statistic?
effect / error
variance explained by model / variance not explained by model
signal / noise
What is the cut-off point for confidence?
0.05, or 5%
What does it mean if p is less than .05?
The test statistic is significant and we reject the null hypothesis
Who identified type I and type II errors?
Neyman and Pearson
What is another name for a type I error?
False posItIve
When do type I errors occur?
When we think we found something, but in reality there was no effect. We wrongly reject the null hypothesis
What is the value of alpha?
Usually 0.05
What does the value of 0.05 probability mean?
If we replicated our data collection where we found no error 100 times, we could expect that 5/100 times we would obtain a significant test statistic. We only make a type I error 5% of the time.
What is another name for a type II error?
False negative
When do type II errors occur?
When we believe that there is no effect, when actually there is. We wrongly accept the null hypothesis
What did Cohen suggest?
The maximum acceptable probability of a type II error is 0.2. This is known as beta.
What does 0.2 probability mean when looking at type II errors?
20/100 times we would fail to detect effects in the population