2.9. - Null hypothesis testing Flashcards

1
Q

Who came up with the idea of p-values?

A

Fisher

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2
Q

Who believed that there are 2 competing hypotheses?

A

Neyman and Pearson

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3
Q

What are 2 competing hypotheses?

A

Alternative hypothesis

Null hypothesis

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4
Q

What symbols represent the alternative hypothesis?

A

H1

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5
Q

What symbols represent the null hypothesis?

A

Ho

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6
Q

What does an alternative hypothesis state?

A

States that there will be a difference in outcome

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7
Q

What does a null hypothesis state?

A

States that there won’t be a difference in outcome

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8
Q

What are 2 types of alternative hypothesis?

A

Directional

Non-directional

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9
Q

What is a directional hypothesis also called?

A

One-tailed hypothesis

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10
Q

What is a non-directional hypothesis called?

A

Two-tailed hypothesis

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11
Q

What does NHST stand for?

A

Null Hypothesis Significance Testing

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12
Q

What is a test statistic?

A

A statistic for which we know how frequently different values occur

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13
Q

How do we calculate test statistic?

A

effect / error
variance explained by model / variance not explained by model
signal / noise

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14
Q

What is the cut-off point for confidence?

A

0.05, or 5%

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15
Q

What does it mean if p is less than .05?

A

The test statistic is significant and we reject the null hypothesis

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16
Q

Who identified type I and type II errors?

A

Neyman and Pearson

17
Q

What is another name for a type I error?

A

False posItIve

18
Q

When do type I errors occur?

A

When we think we found something, but in reality there was no effect. We wrongly reject the null hypothesis

19
Q

What is the value of alpha?

A

Usually 0.05

20
Q

What does the value of 0.05 probability mean?

A

If we replicated our data collection where we found no error 100 times, we could expect that 5/100 times we would obtain a significant test statistic. We only make a type I error 5% of the time.

21
Q

What is another name for a type II error?

A

False negative

22
Q

When do type II errors occur?

A

When we believe that there is no effect, when actually there is. We wrongly accept the null hypothesis

23
Q

What did Cohen suggest?

A

The maximum acceptable probability of a type II error is 0.2. This is known as beta.

24
Q

What does 0.2 probability mean when looking at type II errors?

A

20/100 times we would fail to detect effects in the population

25
What factors affect the value of beta?
Strength of effect, type of design, sample size
26
Who decides the value of alpha?
The researcher
27
What does the term familywise error mean?
The increase in error rate across several statistical tests conducted on the same data.
28
How do we calculate the familywise error?
1 - 0.95 to the power of the number of tests carried out on the data
29
What is another name for familywise error?
Experimentwise error
30
How do we prevent an increase in error rate between several statistical tests?
Adjust the level of significance by dividing the value of alpha by the number of comparisons
31
Define statistical power
The ability of a test to find an effect
32
How do we calculate statistical power?
1 - beta
33
What is the general value for beta?
0.2
34
What power do we aim to achieve?
0.8
35
What does a power of 0.8 suggest?
0.8 is significant. Equates to an 80% chance of detecting an effect if one genuinely exists
36
What factors affect the power of a statistical test?
How big the effect is How strict we are about deciding if an effect is significant Sample size
37
What affect does the sample size have on the amount of sampling error?
The larger the sample, the less sampling error there will be