2.6.4 Exchange rate systems Flashcards

1
Q

Types of exchange rates?

A
  1. Free floating ER
  2. Managed floating ER
  3. Fixed ER
  4. Currency board system ER
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2
Q

Free floating exchange rate

A
  • Currency value set purely by market forces.
  • Strength of currency S=D derives external value of currency in markets.
  • No intervention by central banks, finds own market level - no target.
  • External value of currency not explicit target of monetary policy.
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3
Q

Advantages of free floating ER

A
  • Monetary policy anatomy = greater flexability, won’t be contrained by ER considerations.
  • Shock absorbtion - more effective.
  • Redcued speculative attacks.
  • Trade balance adjustments.
  • Currency reserves = doesn’t need to hold them as no specific targets.
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4
Q

Disadvantages of free floating ER

A
  • ER volatility = rapid and unpreeictable flucuations so uncertainty for businesses engaged in trade.
  • Currency risk for businesses + investors.
  • Inflation pass-through = leads to changes in import prices, impacts domestic inflation.
  • Loss of ER as policy tool.
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5
Q

Fixed exchange rate

A
  • Banks fix currency value - pegged to one or more currencies.
  • Must hold enough FX reserve to intervene when needed to maintain fixed currency peg.
  • Pegged rate becomes official rate.
  • Adjustable peg = occasional realignment may be needed, leading to either de or revaluation
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6
Q

Advantages of fixed ER

A
  • Price stability = since influcuations in ER are minimised, helps control inflation.
  • Reduced ER risks, eliminated.
  • Monetary disipline = adds credability and means less likely cuts in IR.
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7
Q

Disadvantages of fixed ER

A
  • Loss of monetary soverignty - IR can’t be used for domestic purposes.
  • Large reserves of foreign currency may be needed for gov intervention.
  • Lack of adjustments to current account imbalences through ER changes.
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8
Q

Manages floating exchange rate

A

Where exchange rates are allowed to fluctuate freely in the foreign exchange market, but central banks may intervene occasionally to stabilize or influence the currency’s value.

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9
Q

Advantages of managed floating ER

A
  • Allows market forces to determine exchange rates, reflecting supply and demand.
  • Offers flexibility for adjustments in response to economic conditions.
  • May reduce speculative activities compared to fixed exchange rate systems.
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10
Q

Disadvantages of managed floating ER

A
  • Volatility: Can lead to exchange rate volatility due to market forces.
  • Businesses face uncertainty as currency values can change rapidly.
  • Requires effective coordination of monetary policies to avoid excessive currency fluctuations.
  • Central bank interventions can be challenging to implement effectively.
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11
Q

Currency union

A

Multiple countries sharing a common single currency e.g. EU and Euro

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12
Q

Advantages of currency unions

A
  • Greater certainty for businesses that trade with other members.
  • No costs involved in converting currencies between members
  • No worries about ER being over valued or under valued against other members.
  • Greater price transapency for consumers.
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13
Q

Disadvantages of currency unions

A
  • Individual countries lose the right to set their own monetary policy.
  • Businesses may be unable to compete with lower- cost producers therefore cannot benefit from a falling exchange rate.
  • Fiscal policy needs to be used more widely to correct for imbalances across the currency union area (this is unpopular in the EU).
  • Countries may have to ‘bail out’ other members that run into financial problems.
  • Inflation target set in currency union zone may not be appropriate for UK - ‘deflationary bias’.
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14
Q

Determinants of exchange rates

A
  1. Interest rate movements
  2. Foreign trade
  3. Relative inflation
  4. FDI
  5. Expectations
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15
Q

Determinants of ER - explained

Interest rates

A
  • IR increase = inflow of ST ‘hot money’ to take advantage of higher IR offered by UK financial institions.
  • Higher IR = rise in ER
  • Lower IR = fall in ER
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16
Q

Determinants of ER - explained

Foreign trade

A
  • Increased D for I means outflow of pounds to buy the foreign currency needed to purchase the imports.
  • This increases S of pounds + leads to a fall in ER.
  • Higher UK exports mean more demand for the pound - will lead to a rise in the currency’s value.
  • In general:
    + higher imports/falling exports will normally lead to a fall in the
    exchange rate
    + reduced imports/rising exports will normally lead to a rise in the
    exchange rate.
17
Q

Determinants of ER - explained

Relative inflation

A

If UK inflation is higher than economies of trading partners, exports become less price competitive.
This reduces D for exports and may increase the D for imports - normally resulting in a greater S of pounds and reduced D for pounds - leads to a lower exchange rate.

18
Q

Determinants of ER - explained

FDI

A
  • Increasing FDI to the UK will increase the demand for the currency.
  • Therefore increase the ER
19
Q

Determinants of ER - explained

Expectations

A
  • If any of the determinants of ER are expected to change soon, may buy currency now in anticipation of a rise in the exchange rate.
  • ER = often determined by expectations of events coming, instead of actual event.