2.6.4 Conflicts and trade-offs between objectives and policies Flashcards
What are potential conflicts between objectives?
- Unemployment and inflation (price stability) - Phillips Curve analysis is used for this trade-off
- Economic growth and inflation – an overheating economy with excess AD can see accelerating demand-pull
inflation - Economic growth and the balance of payments – a consumer boom may cause the trade deficit to rise as
demand for and spending on imports grows faster than income from exports - Economic Growth and Inequality – the benefits from economic growth are not evenly distributed
- Per capita income vs environmental degradation - rapid growth might lead to increased pollution, waste and
long-term damage to the stock of natural resources (natural capital) - Income inequality vs Economic growth - does high inequality causes slower long-term growth?
How might there be potential conflict between economic growth and inflation?
o The risk of accelerating inflation is greatest when aggregate supply is inelastic i.e. when the economy has low
spare capacity
o If an economy suffers high inflation and a slowdown in economic growth – this is called stagflation
o The conflict between growth and inflation can be resolved by having effective supply-side policies
Describe the trade off between eg and inflation
This diagram shows the worsening trade-off between economic growth and inflation. An outward shift in AD from AD3 to AD4 causes a sharp rise in the general price level because AS is inelastic (i.e. output is close to full-capacity levels).
How can there be a potential trade off between economic growth and the balance of payments?
Give measures to overcome the trade off between economic growth and BoP
- Supply-Side Policies
o Reforms to improve labour productivity
o Incentives to promote research & development & innovation
o Measures to increase investment in export sectors - Exchange Rate Depreciation
o A depreciation of the currency (in theory) makes exports more price competitive and imports are more expensive
o But the effects are dependent on price elasticity of demand for exports and imports - Sound / Effective Macroeconomic Policies
o Monetary policy to keep inflation low relative to the inflation of major trading competitor countries
o Infrastructure investment to increase export competitiveness
What are the effects of a potential trade-off between economic growth and the stock of environmental assets?
What is the Phillips Curve?
The Phillips Curve shows a trade-off between inflation and unemployment. A demand-side policy to reduce
unemployment could conflict with price stability.
It suggested an inverse relationship between the rate of unemployment and the percentage change in wages
What does the Phillips Curve look like?
Explain the elastic part of the Phillips Curve
- When the unemployment rate is high, wage pressures in the labour market are likely to be low – workers have
little relative bargaining power because they can be easily replaced by someone willing to work at a lower
wage - There is plenty of spare capacity in the labour market such as many unfilled jobs vacancies
- Fears over job security might also lead to workers being unwilling to bid for higher wages
Explain the inelastic part of the Phillips Curve
- As unemployment falls, labour shortages may cause an increase in wage inflation and higher unit labour costs
- When an economy is booming, so does the derived demand for and prices of components and raw materials
– leading to higher costs - Rising demand and falling unemployment can lead to suppliers raising prices to increase their profit margins
- Workers have relatively more bargaining power, because they are a scarce resource and in demand by firms
What is the natural rate of unemployment?
- The natural rate of unemployment is also known as the equilibrium rate of unemployment
- It is estimated by adding to together frictional + structural unemployment
What supply side policies can help to decrease the natural rate of unemployment?
- Improve the occupational mobility of labour force
- Attract more people into an active search for work
- Reduce the problem of occupational immobility
- Lift labour productivity
Why might there have been an improved trade-off between unemployment and inflation?
- Improved labour mobility and incentives
- Impact of skilled migration into the labour market
- Reduced worker bargaining power / rise of monopsony employers
- Effects of globalisation / technological change on consumer prices