2.5 The Economic Cycle Flashcards

1
Q

What is the economic cycle

A

Describes the fluctuations in the levels and rates of growth of GDP over a period of time

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2
Q

What are the main factors causing GDP to grow

A

Higher productivity - Increased investment, new tech, improvements to education and training

New sources of natural resources

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3
Q

What are the 4 stages of the economic cycle (in chronological order)

A

Boom - Rapid growth and expansion
Downturn - the boom slows and growth rates decrease
Recession - 2 consecutive quarters of negative growth
Recovery - positive growth returns

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4
Q

Describe the chain reaction of an economic boom (8 parts)

A
  • GDP increases
  • Demand increases
  • Output increases, more resources used
  • Lower unemployment
  • More disposable income
  • More investments into new businesses and expansion
  • Inflation increases as demand starts to exceed supply. This is because there is too much money and not enough resource, higher prices are charged for raw materials and therefore the good.
  • Policies to reduce spending are put in place

The downturn begins

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5
Q

Describe the chain reaction of an economic recession (5 parts)

A
  • Reduced sales from high inflation
  • Low profit
  • Output falls - low demand
  • High unemployment (no need for workers)
  • Wages fall
  • Lower incomes
  • Less investment
  • Inflation is reduced
  • Policies to increase spending are put in place

The recovery begins

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6
Q

How does the economic cycle affect businesses differently

A

It depends upon the price elasticity or quality (inferior or luxury) of the product the business offers.

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7
Q

How might the boom affect businesses positively and negatively?

A

P - Elastic (normal) goods will do very well. More demand, output and investment.

N - Inferior goods will fall in demand. prices may rise as demand exceeds supply. Resource scarceness. Increased inflation.

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8
Q

How might the recession affect businesses positively and negatively?

A

N - Normal ,elastic, goods will fall. Unemployment rises and demand falls. Low investment.

P - Inferior goods will increase demand. Supply exceeds demand, prices fall. Low inflation.

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9
Q

Explain, or draw, the circular flow of income, expenditure and profit

A

Houses -> savings, taxes, spending on imports -> to banks, government and abroad -> Investment, government spending, spending on exports (respectively) -> Firms -> Payment for factors of production (labour, land, capital and enterprise)

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10
Q

What are leakages and injections

A

Leakages - Reduce the demand for domestically produced goods and services by diverting people’s income to savings, taxes and imports.

Injections - Investment, government spending and exports - increase demand for domestically produced goods and services

Leakages = Injections —–> Equilibrium

If one outweighs the other, the economic cycle is propelled

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11
Q

Increased leakages lead to what?

A
Lower demand (more saving)
Lower consumer spending (taxation)
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12
Q

What is aggregate demand + the formula

A

The sum total of demand from all sources in the economy.

C + I + G + (X-M)

C - Consumption (household spending on products)
I - Investment (Spending on capital assets)
G - Government spending (Public spending)
X - Exports
M - Imports

(if exports exceed imports - net injection)
(if imports exceed exports - net leakage)

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13
Q

What’s aggregate supply

A

The total output from all sources in the economy

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14
Q

What does the aggregate demand and supply graph look like

A

Google the image

The horizontal AS curve shows where capacity reaches capacity and prices don’t need to rise as more is made
The curve of the AS shows how resources become more scarce and costs/prices rise (inflation)
At full capacity, there are no resources left to increase supply so an increase in AD will mean prices increase.

If costs rise, AS will shift up.

If productivity rises, AS will shift right

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15
Q

How can full capacity output be increased

A

New tech to increase efficiency
Investment into capital assets
More resources available

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16
Q

What’s the differences between disinflation and deflation

A

Dis - A decrease in the rate of increased inflation

De - Prices are falling

17
Q

What are prices indices and how are they measured

A

Measure changes in the general level of prices (inflation), a basket of goods measures this (the most bought products)

18
Q

What’s CPI

A

The Consumer Price Index
Government’s basis for inflation levels
Doesn’t include mortgage interest or housing

19
Q

What’s RPI

A

Retail Price Index
Inflation measure that does include mortgages/housing
Decides the state pension and benefits

20
Q

What is a real value

A

Anything that’s taken into account the effects of inflation

21
Q

What’s a current price

A

Value each item of the price that year

22
Q

What’s a constant price

A

The value it would’ve had in its base year, with inflation removed

23
Q

What are the 2 main causes of inflation

A

Demand-pull : The economy is overheating in a boom. AD exceeds AS. Prices and inflation increases.

Cost-push : The costs of production are rising and prices are higher. AS shifts upwards

24
Q

What are the 2 main impacts of inflation to businesses

A

Uncertainty - Can’t make accurate forecasts, less likely to invest due to this.
Loss of competitiveness - Exports are less competitive abroad, higher costs/prices.

25
Q

What are the 2 main impacts of inflation to individuals

A

Savers - if inflation is higher than interest rates, savings are worth less.

Fixed income - If inflation increases, their income doesn’t, less disposable income.

Borrowers - gain because the value of money falls and they don’t have to repay the same value over time.

26
Q

Define employment

A

All those people aged between 16 and 64 who are in work (7.2% in 2018)

27
Q

What’s the difference between unemployment and underemployment

A

Unemployment refers to those who are willing and able to work but cannot find a job.
Underemployment refers to those who are in a job which doesn’t use their qualifications to the full (skill waste)

28
Q

What are the 2 measures of employment

A

The claimant count - those who claiming unemployment benefits
Labour force survey - Counts those available and seeking work

29
Q

What are the 5 forms of unemployment

A

Structural - When people have the wrong skills for the job, can come from structural change or relocation

Occupational immobility - People can’t adapt to meet the changing needs of the job at hand

Geographical immobility - People can’t move to where the jobs are, usually due to family ties

Technological - Tech replaces humans

Cyclical - Downturn in the economic cycle. As demand falls, people are no longer required to work.

30
Q

How can unemployment affect individuals, society and the government positively and negatively

A

P - Don’t have to work
N - Opportunity cost (loss of potential output and growth), more employment benefits needed to be spent, opportunity cost of less money in health and education, less taxes for the government, social costs (health issues, crime).

31
Q

What’s frictional unemployment

A

Those between jobs

32
Q

How can increased unemployment effect businesses

A

Less people working - less disposable income - less demand - low profits

Inelastic goods see a large drop in sales

Elastic (normal) goods may benefit

Easier to fill job vacancies (more available)

Wages may decrease (lower costs)