2.2 - Financial Planning Flashcards
Purpose of sales forcecasts (4)
- HR plan - ensure the right number of staff are employed (in the medium and long term) and that the staff are actually working (in the short term)
- Marketing budgets - firms needs to know if they should boost or revive sales of a particular product or service
- Profit forecasts and budgets - helps shape expectations of spending
- Production planning - a firms needs to ensure enough products are made to satisfy demand and enough raw materials are made this takes place backwards from sales forecasts
Factors affecting sales forecasts (3)
- Consumer trends
- Economic variables
- Actions of competitors
Factors affecting sales forecasts - consumer trends (2)
- Demand for the product can be affected by changing customers tastes and fashions - this may affect the market size or a particular firm’s market share
- E.g increased demand for more convenient foods or a trend towards healthier eating for some consumers
Factors affecting sales forecasts - economic variables (3)
- Value of the pound - A decrease in value makes imports more expensive pushing consumers towards UK-produced products
- Changes in taxation - taxes on individual items such as petrol or alcohol, can affect demand as well as changes in VAT
- Inflation - consumer would need to spend less if inflation is higher than the rate of increase of average incomes this could damage potential sales of some products and services
Factors affecting sales forecasts - actions of competitors (3)
- Changing price: if a rival firms undercuts prices (depending on the price elasticity) that rival firm can steal sales potentially making a sales forecasts too optimistic.
- Launching new products: a competitor launching a new product can have a dramatic effect on forecasted sales
- Promotional campaigns: Competitors running successful Promotional campaigns to try to steal market share which could further leave sales forecasts looking too optimistic
Difficulties of sales forecasts
Many sales for cats use a technique called extrapolation meaning assuming that past rends will continue - however there are many reasons why trends may change
Formula for sales revenue
Sales revenue = selling price x sales volume
Formula for sales volume
Sales volume = sales revenue / selling price
Formula for total variable cost
Total variable costs = variable cost per unit x output
Formula for total costs
Fixed costs + variable costs
Formula form total fixed costs
Fixed cost per unit x output
Formula for contribution per unit
Selling price - variable costs per unit This figure can be used to calculate break-even
Formula for break even
Fixed costs / (selling price - variable cost per unit)
Formula for break even point
Total fixed costs + total variable costs = total revenue
Margin of safety (3)
- Is the horizontal distance between actual output of a business and its break-even output
- This shows how far demand can fall before the firm slips into a loss-making position
- It can be a vital figure to look out for during difficult trading periods