2.2 Financial Planning Flashcards

1
Q

What is sales forecasting?

A

A predict of the future revenues based on past sales figures.

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2
Q

Key factors affecting sales forecasting

A

-Seasonal factors
-Consumer spending, habits, fashions
-Economic Growth
-Actions of competitors

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3
Q

Define Extrapolation

A

Extrapolation uses trends established from historical data to forecast the future

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4
Q

What is a moving average?

A

-A moving average takes a data series and “smoothes” the fluctuations in data to show an average

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5
Q

benefits of using Extrapolation

A

-Simple method of forecasting
-Not much data required
-Quick and Cheap

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6
Q

Disadvantages of Extrapolation

A

-Unreliable if there are significant fluctuations in historical data
-Assumes past tends will continue
-Ignore qualitative factors

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7
Q

Define Correlation

A

Correlation looks at the strength of a relationship between two variables

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8
Q

Circumstances where sales forecasts are likely to be inaccurate

A

-Business is new
-Technological change disrupts market
-Demand highly sensitive to changes in income
-Changes in market share
-Product is a fashion item

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9
Q

Define Demand

A

The amount of a product that customers are prepared to buy

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10
Q

Define Revenues

A

The Value of units sold

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11
Q

Equation for Revenue

A

Revenue = Price x Quantity

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12
Q

Two ways for a business to increase revenue?

A

-Increase quantity sold e.g by cutting price/incentives
-Achieve a higher selling price e.g add value

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13
Q

Define costs

A

Costs are amounts that a business incurs in order to make goods and/ or provide services

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14
Q

Define variable costs

A

costs which change as output arises eg wages, raw materials

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15
Q

Define fixed costs

A

Costs which do not change when output varies eg rents & salaries

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16
Q

Examples of variable costs

A

-Raw materials
-Bought in stocks
-Wages based on hours worked or amount produced
-Marketing costs based on sales

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17
Q

Examples of fixed costs

A

-Rents
-Salaries
-Advertising
-Design and development

18
Q

Equation for total costs

A

total costs = fixed costs + variable costs

19
Q

What is contribution

A

-Contribution looks at the profit made on individual products
-Used to calculate how many items need to be sold to cover all costs

20
Q

Contribution per unit formula

A

Contribution = Selling price - variable costs

21
Q

Total contribution formula

A

Total contribution = Contribution per unit x number of units sold

22
Q

Assumptions of break even analysis

A

-Selling price per unit stays the same
-Variable costs vary
-All output is sold
-Fixed costs do not vary with output

23
Q

Define break even

A

The point at which total revenue and total costs are the same business neither making a profit or a loss.

24
Q

Define margin of safety

A

The difference between actual output and break even output

25
Benefits of break even analysis
-Focuses on what output is required before a business reaches profitability -Helps better understand risk of a business -Illustrates importance of keeping fixed costs down
26
Limitations of break even
-Accuracy relies on quality of the data -Variable costs differ -Most businesses sell more than one product -Assumes all output sold
27
What is a budget?
A financial plan that a business sets about costs & revenues.
28
Reasons for using budgets?
-Planning and monitoring -Control -Coordination & communication -Motivation & efficiency
29
Three main types of budgets
-Revenue budget -Costs budget -Profit budget
30
What are the two main approaches to budgeting?
-Historical budgets -Zero-based budgets
31
What are historical budgets
-Use last years figures as the basis for budget -Realistic as based on actual results -Circumstances may have changed
32
What are zero-based budgets?
-Budgets costs and revenues are set to zero -Requires all spending to be justified meaning unecessary costs can be eliminated -More complicated and time consuming but potentially more realistic
33
Limitations of budgeting accurately
-Encourages short term thinking rather than long term performance -Unachievable or unambitious targets can impact motivation -Only as goof as data being used -Take time and skill to form
34
Define Variance analysis
The differences between actual results and the budgeted figure
35
Two ways variances can be...
-Favourable (better than expected) -Adverse (worse than expected)
36
Causes of favourable variances
-Stronger market demand than expected -Selling prices increase higher than budget -Cautious sales and cost assumptions -Competitor weakness -Better than expected productivity or efficiency
37
Causes of Adverse Variances
-Unexpected events lead to unbudgeted costs -Over spends by budget holders -Sales forecasts prove over optimistic
38
Main uses of sales forecasting?
-To determine resource management eg staff, stock -Determine what will happen in the future eg volume and value of sales, size of the market, results of promotions.
39
Difficulties of sales forecasting?
-Past data to predict future -Doesn't account for changed in tastes, fashions, competitor actions & economic factors
40
Formula for Break even
Fixed costs / Contribution
41
Formula for Margin of Safety
Sales volume - break even output