1B - Prospective Analysis, Including the Use of Data Flashcards
What are the approaches in capital investment planning?
- Net Present Value
- Internal Rate of Returns. Discount rate that makes the NPV of an invstmt zero
- Payback Period
- Discounted PB Period
- Profitability index: Accept the invest if PI > 1
- Accounting Rate of Return. Accounting profit/Initial investment
- Real Options.
Real Option Approach (ROA)
Helps managers in dealing with uncertainties. (ROA) is a sophisticated approach used in capital investment planning to evaluate and manage the value of flexibility and strategic decision-making under uncertainty.
Costs in diagram. Interpretation
In a diagram, the line of total budgeted cost represent the total budgeted fixed cost and total budgeted variable cost. If budgeted variable cost stars from 0, then no fixed cost is assumed.
Interest rate for individuals
Interest rate for individuals are determined primarily by Creditworthdiness. A more creditworthy individuals is likely to receive a lower interest rate than a less creditworthy individual.
Transferring risk
Transferring the risk of interest rate changes from the institution to the member is a form of Financial risk management. Example, an institution starts offering fixed rate, and then decided to offer variable-rate.
Cashflow hedging. Treatment
In a hedge against the exposure to the variable cash flow the entity would recognize the effective portion of the derivative`s gain or loss initially as a component fo OCI, and subsequently reclasify it into earnings when the forecasted transaction affects earnings.
Discounted Cashflow for MACRS Depr.
Discounted cash flow for MACRS Depreciation is calculated Multiplying the asset value (no substracting the SV) by the rate of depreciation, then by the income tax rate if any and finally by the PV factor for the period asked.
Discounte Chash flow = Cost of new asset x MACRS rate x Income tax x PV factor.
Income tax rate is used assuming the amount of tax is what we saved.
Accounting Rate of Return
To calculate the accounting rate of return: Substract the depreciation from the annual expected cost saving, and divide by the Investment(Asset value). If the problem ask for averall ARR we would need to divide the investment by 2.
ARR = (20000-10000)/100000
Averall ARR = (20000-10000)/(100000/2)
Market beliefs related to efficient market
Market beliefs related to efficient market:
1, Waek form efficiency: past prices would not be used of use in predicting future perfomance
2. Semi-strong efficient: All publicly available information is incorporated in market prices.
3. Strong-form efficient: All available information is incorporated in current market prices.
When diseconomies of scales start?
Diseconomies of scale begin where the average total cost starts goin up.
Coef. of Variation calculation
In case coeficient of variation is asked: R2= 1 - (unexpected variation / total variation). The value range is from 0 to 1
Payback Period uses
The payback period serves as a fair approximation of the annuity factor value from the table of present values of an annuity. Payback = Investment / Annual saving
If payback is equal to 5,00 in 10 periods, then te internal rate of retunr can be obtained as a percentage rate from an annuity table for the 10 periods nearest the annuity factor of 5,00
Merger and adquisition strategy
Merger and adquisition strategy can provide vertical integration that is expected to result in lower costs along the value chain of activities:
* lower risk by diversifying into addtitional industies
* enter new markets
* provide possible opportunities for quick profitability
* provide opportunities to take advantage of economies of scope
*potentially lower costs along the value chain of activities
* broaden the strength of resources and capabilities.
Capital budgeting decision
Capital budgeting decision are based upon predictions that are uncertain. Financial planning decisions are based on pedictions of operations, capital requirements, and financing needs.
Short-term vs Long-term credit risk
Short-term credit can generally obtained quicker than long-term credit; however, short-term credit hold more risk due to the need to renew more often.
Gordon Growth Model, cost of new CS
To calculate the cost of new common stock; Use the Gordon Growth Model, and remember that is the next dividend that is used. Ks = [Dividend(1+%Growth)/(Price(1-%cost)] + % of Growth
Type of profits
- Accounting Profit: Revenue menus explicit costs
- Economic Profit: Acounting profit menus implicit costs
- Normal Profit: The point where the economic profit is equal to zero
Expected Rate of Return
The CAPM computes the ERofR, CAPM = Rf + B(Rm-Rf)
Economic exposure
Economic exposure represents any impact of exchange rate fluctuation on a firm’s future cash flow.
Best-cost provider
Best-cost provider attempts to provide a product with superior quality, features, durability, service, etc. At the lowest cost. In other words, they are trying t give the buyer more value for their money
Costs relevant in short-term decision making.
Only incremental costs, whether fixed or varaible, are relevant in decision making. Incremental costs represent the difference in the total cost between two alternatives.
Factoring of AR
When there is a withheld amount, this should be substracted from the gross amount to calculate the amount subject to interes, and then apply all interest and fee costs.
What does Payback emphasize?
Payback is computed as net investment divided by average expected annual cash inflow, so payback period emphasizes liquidity
Assumptin in the income approach
The limits are essential when using the income approach. There are four basic approach:
1. The prediction of the future benefit stream is used to establish value
2. The number of periods in the projection
3. The terminal value at the end of the projection
4. The discount/capitalization rate.