14- Error and Confidence Interval Flashcards
What does Error mean?
The Difference between our estimate of a parameter and the true parameter
What is Sampling Error?
The error associated with the sample statistics we calculate (mean , proportion, probability)
What is Systematic Error?
A non-random error associated with measurement, instruments, sampling method and other factors (includes measurement error and methodological error)
Four Characteristics of Measurement Error
1) Accuracy limit- Granularity of the reporting interval. 2) Range limits- Detectable only in a certain range. 3) Response Lag- time between the measurement and the result. 4) Level of Detection- Limit at which detectability is possible
Three Characteristics of Methodological Error
1) Biased Sampling- sample of a subset of population is a biased representation of the whole population 2) Incorrect Statistical Measure 3) Miscalculation- Error in programming code or in the manual calculation of statistics
Can methodological errors be eliminated? If yes, how?
Yes, through choosing the appropriate elimination method
What type of systematic error can be unavoidable?
Measurement Errors, but we can usually take them into account to ensure that our findings are valid
What is Measurement or Instrumental Error?
It is an error related to the tool we are using to analyze data
What causes Methodological Error?
Sampling biases, poor choices about statistic and miscalculations
How do we represent sampling error?
Using point estimators as they represent an unknown population parameter
What are Interval Estimators?
A range/interval estimator is calculated from a sample and provides a range of plausible values, has upper and lower bounds, does not account for instrument errors, biases, or other methodological errors
What are Confidence Intervals?
tells us about a range that is likely to include the true unknown population parameter with some level of certainty
Confidence Interval Relationship
Smaller sample sizes result in larger confidence intervals, larger confidence levels results in larger confidence intervals, larger standard deviations result in larger confidence intervals
Purpose of Confidence intervals
To estimate the interval within which a population parameter is expected to fall at a certain confidence level (Narrower the interval the better)