13.3 Discounted Cash Flow Analysis Flashcards
A company has prepared a net present value analysis of a possible capital budgeting project involving the adoption of a new production process; the company is now addressing risk. There will likely be some variance from the estimates used in the analysis as actual results are experienced through the life of the project. Which one of the following estimates is most likely to vary significantly from estimate?
A. Purchase price of the new equipment.
B. Tax effect of the sale of the old equipment.
C. Disposal value of the old equipment.
D. Annual savings in operating costs.
D. Annual savings in operating costs.
The cost savings as well as the discount rate for the discounted cash-flow analysis must be estimated.
Smithco is considering the acquisition of scanning equipment to mechanize its procurement process. The equipment will require extensive testing and debugging, as well as user training, prior to its operational use. Projected after-tax cash flows are shown below.
After-Tax Cash
Inflow/(Outflow)
Year 0: $(550,000)
Year 1: (500,000)
Year 2: 450,000
Year 3: 350,000
Year 4: 350,000
Year 5: 350,000
Management anticipates the equipment will be sold at the beginning of Year 6 for $50,000 when its book value is zero. Smithco’s internal hurdle and effective tax rates are 14% and 40%, respectively.
Smithco’s net present value for the project would be
A. $8,600
B. $(6,970)
C. $(17,350)
D. $(1,780)
The net present value for this project can be calculated as follows:
Year 0: $(550,000) × PV Factor 1.000 = $(550,000)
Year 1: (500,000) x PV Factor .877 = (438,500)
Year 2: 450,000 × PV Factor .769 = 346,050
Year 3: 350,000 x PV Factor .675 = 236,250
Year 4: 350,000 × PV Factor .592 = 207,200
Year 5: 350,000 × PV Factor .519 = 181,650
Year 6: 30,000 × PV Factor .519 = 15,570
Net present value: $ (1,780)
Note that the after-tax disposal proceeds [$50,000 × (1.0 - .40)] are discounted at the 5-year factor because it occurs at the start of Year 6.
If an investment project has a negative net present value (NPV), which one of the following statements about the internal rate of return (IRR) of this project must be true?
A. The IRR is greater than the company’s weighted-average cost of capital.
B. The IRR is negative.
C. The IRR is equal to zero.
D. The IRR is less than the company’s weighted-average cost of capital.
D. The IRR is less than the company’s weighted-average cost of capital.
The IRR of an investment is the discount rate at which the investment’s NPV equals zero. Also, the lower the discount rate, the higher than NPV will be. So, if NPV goes from a negative number to zero, this is an increase in NPV. A higher NPV equates to a lower discount rate. Therefore, the IRR is lower than the weighted-average cost of capital.
A firm with an 18% desired rate of return is considering the following projects (on January 1, Year 1):
Project A:
January 1, Year 1 Cash Outflow (000’s Omitted): $3,500
December 31, Year 5 Cash Inflow (000’s Omitted): $7,400
Project Internal Rate of Return: 16%
Project B
January 1, Year 1 Cash Outflow (000’s Omitted): 4,000
December 31, Year 5 Cash Inflow (000’s Omitted): 9,950
Project Internal Rate of Return: ?
Present Value of $1 Due at the End of N Periods
N: 12% / 14% / 15% / 16% / 18% / 20% / 22%
4: .6355 / .5921 / .5718 / .5523 / .5158 / .4823 / .4230
5: .5674 / .5194 / .4972 / .4761 / .4371 / .4019 / .3411
6: .5066 / .4556 / .4323 / .4104 / .3704 / .3349 / .2751
Using the net-present-value (NPV) method, Project A’s net present value is
A. $316,920
B. $23,140
C. $(265,460)
D. $(316,920)
C. $(265,460)
The cash inflow occurs 5 years after the cash outflow, and the NPV method uses the firm’s desired rate of return of 18%. The present value of $1 due at the end of 5 years discounted at 18% is .4371. Thus, the NPV of Project A is $(265,460) [($7,400,000 cash inflow × .4371) – $3,500,000 cash outflow].
A firm with an 18% desired rate of return is considering the following projects (on January 1, Year 1):
Project A:
January 1, Year 1 Cash Outflow (000’s Omitted): $3,500
December 31, Year 5 Cash Inflow (000’s Omitted): $7,400
Project Internal Rate of Return: 16%
Project B
January 1, Year 1 Cash Outflow (000’s Omitted): 4,000
December 31, Year 5 Cash Inflow (000’s Omitted): 9,950
Project Internal Rate of Return: ?
Present Value of $1 Due at the End of N Periods
N: 12% / 14% / 15% / 16% / 18% / 20% / 22%
4: .6355 / .5921 / .5718 / .5523 / .5158 / .4823 / .4230
5: .5674 / .5194 / .4972 / .4761 / .4371 / .4019 / .3411
6: .5066 / .4556 / .4323 / .4104 / .3704 / .3349 / .2751
Project B’s internal rate of return is closest to
A. 15%
B. 16%
C. 18%
D. 20%
D. 20%
The internal rate of return is the discount rate at which the NPV is zero. Consequently, the cash outflow equals the present value of the inflow at the internal rate of return. The present value of $1 factor for Project B’s internal rate of return is therefore .4020 ($4,000,000 cash outflow ÷ $9,950,000 cash inflow). This factor is closest to the present value of $1 for 5 periods at 20%.
The net present value (NPV) method of investment project analysis assumes that the project’s cash flows are reinvested at the
A. Computed internal rate of return.
B. Risk-free interest rate.
C. Discount rate used in the NPV calculation.
D. Firm’s accounting rate of return.
C. Discount rate used in the NPV calculation.
The NPV method is used when the discount rate is specified. It assumes that cash flows from the investment can be reinvested at the particular project’s discount rate.
Which of the following is not a shortcoming of the internal rate of return (IRR) method?
A. IRR is easier to visualize and interpret than net present value (NPV).
B. Sign changes in the cash flow stream can generate more than one IRR.
C. IRR does not take into account the difference in the scale of investment alternatives.
D. IRR assumes that funds generated from a project will be reinvested at an interest rate equal to the project’s IRR.
A. IRR is easier to visualize and interpret than net present value (NPV).
IRR is widely used because of its simplicity.
Which one of the following conditions can cause a conflicting decision when applying both the net present value (NPV) and internal rate of return (IRR) methods to two mutually exclusive projects?
A. When significant timing differences are present with respect to cash flows.
B. When the required rate of return is greater than the IRR for each project.
C. When NPV and IRR are properly calculated, a conflicting decision will not occur.
D. When the size and cost of each project is substantially similar to each other.
A. When significant timing differences are present with respect to cash flows.
Significant timing differences from year to year can result in the NPV and IRR methods yielding different results.
Foster Manufacturing is analyzing a capital investment project that is forecasted to produce the following cash flows and net income:
Year 0
After-Tax Cash Flows: $(20,000)
Net Income: $ 0
Year 1
After-Tax Cash Flows: 6,000
Net Income: 2,000
Year 2
After-Tax Cash Flows: 6,000
Net Income: 2,000
Year 3
After-Tax Cash Flows: 8,000
Net Income: 2,000
Year 4
After-Tax Cash Flows: 8,000
Net Income: 2,000
Foster’s cost of capital is 12%.
Foster’s net present value for this project is
A. $(1,600)
B. $924
C. $6,998
D. $6,074
B. $924
The net present value of this project at 12% can be calculated as follows:
After-Tax Cash Flows PV Factor Present Value
Investment $(20,000) 1.000 $(20,000)
Year 1 6,000 0.893 5,358
Year 2 6,000 0.797 4,782
Year 3 8,000 0.712 5,696
Year 4 8,000 0.636 5,088
$ 924
Which mutually exclusive project would you select if both are priced at $1,000 and your discount rate is 14%: Project A, with 3 annual cash flows of $1,000, Project B, with 3 years of zero cash flow followed by 3 years of $1,500 annually?
A. Project B.
B. The NPVs are equal, hence you are indifferent.
C. The IRRs are equal, hence you are indifferent.
D. Project A.
A. Project B.
Project A’s NPV is calculated as follows:
$1,000 x 2.322 $2,322.00
- Original Cost (1,000.00)
NPV = $1,322.00
The second project’s NPV is:
$1,500 x (3.889 - 2.322) $2,350.50
- Original Cost (1,000.00)
NPV = $1,350.50
Since Project B has slightly higher NPV, it should be selected.
The net present value (NPV) and the internal rate of return (IRR) capital budgeting methods make assumptions about the reinvestment rate of cash inflows over the life of the project. Which one of the following statements is correct with respect to this reinvestment rate of cash inflows?
A. Under NPV and IRR, the reinvestment rate is the cost of capital rate and the risk-free rate of return, respectively.
B. Under NPV and IRR, the reinvestment rate is the cost of capital rate and the asset risk premium rate, respectively.
C. Under both NPV and IRR, the reinvestment rate is the risk-free rate of return.
D. Under NPV and IRR, the reinvestment rate is the cost of capital rate and the internal rate of return, respectively.
D. Under NPV and IRR, the reinvestment rate is the cost of capital rate and the internal rate of return, respectively.
Under NPV and IRR, the reinvestment rate is the cost of capital rate and the internal rate of return, respectively.
In capital budgeting, multiple internal rates of return occur when
A. The projects have embedded real options.
B. There is more than one cost of capital estimate.
C. The project cash flows change between negative and positive more than once.
D. The projects are mutually exclusive.
C. The project cash flows change between negative and positive more than once.
When a project’s cash flows alternate between positive and negative, the internal rate of return (IRR) will not always be accurate. Multiple IRRs will occur. This is a disadvantage of the IRR method as compared to the net present value method.
A company invested $500,000 in a new project. The project is expected to yield annual incremental cash flows of $175,000 for 4 years. What is the approximate internal rate of return (IRR) for this project?
A. 15%
B. 40%
C. 10%
D. 35%
A. 15%
The IRR of an investment is the discount rate at which the investment’s NPV equals 0. In other words, it is the rate that makes the present value of the expected cash inflows equal the present value of the expected cash outflows. The PV factor of an annuity at 15% for a period of 4 years is equal to 2.855 ($175,000 x 2.855 = $499,625, which is about $500,000). Therefore, 15% is the IRR because the NPV would equal $0 ($500,000 - $500,000).
A corporation won a settlement in a law suit and was offered four different payment alternatives by the defendant’s insurance company. A review of interest rates indicates that 8% is appropriate for analyzing this situation. Ignoring any tax considerations, which one of the following four alternatives should the controller recommend to the corporation’s management?
A. $5,000 now and $20,000 per year at the end of each of the next 10 years.
B. $5,000 now and $5,000 per year at the end of each of the next 9 years, plus a lump-sum payment of $200,000 at the end of the tenth year.
C. $135,000 now.
D. $40,000 per year at the end of each of the next 4 years.
A. $5,000 now and $20,000 per year at the end of each of the next 10 years.
The present value of $5,000 received today is $5,000 (using any discount rate). The present value of an ordinary annuity of $20,000 at 8% for 10 years is $134,200. The total present value of these two cash streams is therefore $139,200, the highest of any of the four offered.
A corporation is considering the acquisition of a new technologically efficient packaging machine at a cost of $300,000. The equipment requires an immediate, fully recoverable investment in working capital of $40,000. The corporation plans to use the machine for 5 years, is subject to a 40% income tax rate, and uses a 12% hurdle rate when analyzing capital investments. The company employs the net present value method (NPV) to analyze projects.
The overall impact of the working capital investment on the corporation’s NPV analysis is
A. $(40,000)
B. $(13,040)
C. $(10,392)
D. $(17,320)
D. $(17,320)
The present value of the amount committed to working capital is its face amount ($40,000 x 1.000 = $40,000). The present value of the recovery is calculated as follows:
Amount to be recovered $40,000
x PV factor for single amount in 5 years .567
Present value of recovery = $22,680
The overall impact on the corporation’s working capital is therefore a decrease of $17,320 ($22,680 – $40,000).
In order to increase production capacity, Gunning Industries is considering replacing an existing production machine with a new technologically improved machine effective January 1. The following information is being considered by Gunning Industries:
* The new machine would be purchased for $160,000 in cash. Shipping, installation, and testing would cost an additional $30,000.
* The new machine is expected to increase annual sales by 20,000 units at a sales price of $40 per unit. Incremental operating costs include $30 per unit in variable costs and total fixed costs of $40,000 per year.
* The investment in the new machine will require an immediate increase in working capital of $35,000. This cash outflow will be recovered after 5 years.
* Gunning uses straight-line depreciation for financial reporting and tax reporting purposes. The new machine has an estimated useful life of 5 years and zero salvage value.
* Gunning is subject to a 40% corporate income tax rate.
Gunning uses the net present value method to analyze investments and will employ the following factors and rates:
Period 1
Present Value of $1 at 10% .909
PV of an Ordinary Annuity of $1 at 10% .909
Period 2
Present Value of $1 at 10% .826
PV of an Ordinary Annuity of $1 at 10% 1.736
Period 3
Present Value of $1 at 10% .751
PV of an Ordinary Annuity of $1 at 10% 2.487
Period 4
Present Value of $1 at 10% .683
PV of an Ordinary Annuity of $1 at 10% 3.170
Period 5
Present Value of $1 at 10% .621
PV of an Ordinary Annuity of $1 at 10% 3.791
The acquisition of the new production machine by Gunning Industries will contribute a discounted net-of-tax contribution margin of
A. $454,920
B. $242,624
C. $303,280
D. $363,936
A. $454,920
The new machine will increase sales by 20,000 units a year. The increase in the pretax total contribution margin will be $200,000 per year [20,000 units × ($40 SP – $30 VC)], and the annual increase in the after-tax contribution margin will be $120,000 [$200,000 × (1.0 – .4)]. The present value of the after-tax increase in the contribution margin over the 5-year useful life of the machine is $454,920 ($120,000 × 3.791 PV of an ordinary annuity for 5 years at 10%).
A disadvantage of the net present value method of capital expenditure evaluation is that it
A. Does not provide the true rate of return on investment.
B. Is calculated using sensitivity analysis.
C. Computes the true interest rate.
D. Is difficult to apply because it uses a trial-and-error approach.
A. Does not provide the true rate of return on investment.
The NPV is broadly defined as the excess of the present value of the estimated net cash inflows over the net cost of the investment. A discount rate has to be estimated by the person conducting the analysis. A disadvantage is that it does not provide the true rate of return for an investment, only that the rate of return is higher than a stipulated discount rate (which may be the cost of capital).
A company is in the process of evaluating a major product line expansion. Using a 14% discount rate, the firm has calculated the present value of both the project’s cash inflows and cash outflows to be $15.8 million. The company will likely evaluate this project further by
A. Comparing the internal rate of return versus the company’s cost of capital.
B. Taking a closer look at the expansion’s contribution margin.
C. Comparing the internal rate of return versus the accounting rate of return.
D. Comparing the internal rate of return versus the company’s cost of capital and hurdle rate.
D. Comparing the internal rate of return versus the company’s cost of capital and hurdle rate.
The discount rate at which a project’s discounted net cash inflows equal its discounted net cash outflows is referred to as the internal rate of return (IRR). At this discount rate, the project’s net present value is $0. To determine whether a project with a certain IRR is acceptable, this rate of return must be compared with the firm’s current cost of capital and its hurdle rate, i.e., the rate of return that management has chosen as the benchmark for acceptable projects.
Stennet Company is considering two mutually exclusive projects. The net present value (NPV) profiles of the two projects are as follows:
Discount Rate (percent)
Project A / Project B
0: $2,220 / $1,240
10: 681 / 507
12: 495 / 411
14: 335 / 327
16: 197 / 252
18: 77 / 186
20: (26) / 128
22: (115) / 76
24: (193) / 30
26: (260) / (11)
28: (318) / (47)
The approximate internal rates of return for Projects A and B, respectively, are
A. 0% and 0%.
B. 19.5% and 25.5%.
C. 19.0% and 21.5%.
D. 20.5% and 26.5%.
B. 19.5% and 25.5%.
A project’s internal rate of return is the discount rate at which the net present value of its cash flows equals zero. For Project A, this is somewhere between 18% and 20%, and for Project B, it is between 24% and 26%.
Which one of the following statements is correct regarding the net present value (NPV) and the internal rate of return (IRR) approaches to capital budgeting?
A. Both approaches fail to consider the timing of the project’s cash flows.
B. If the NPV of a project is negative, the IRR must be greater than the company’s cost of capital.
C. Both approaches always provide the same ranking of alternative projects.
D. If the IRR of a project is equal to the company’s cost of capital, the NPV of the project must be 0.
D. If the IRR of a project is equal to the company’s cost of capital, the NPV of the project must be 0.
If the IRR of a project is equal to the company’s cost of capital, the NPV of the project must be 0.
Jorelle Company’s financial staff has been requested to review a proposed investment in new capital equipment. Applicable financial data is presented below. There will be no salvage value at the end of the investment’s life and, due to realistic depreciation practices, it is estimated that the salvage value and net book value are equal at the end of each year. All cash flows are assumed to take place at the end of each year. For investment proposals, Jorelle uses a 12% after-tax target rate of return.
Investment Proposal
Year 0
Purchase Cost and Book Value $250,000
Annual Net After-Tax Cash Flows 0
Annual Net Income 0
Year 1
Purchase Cost and Book Value 168,000
Annual Net After-Tax Cash Flows 120,000
Annual Net Income 35,000
Year 2
Purchase Cost and Book Value 100,000
Annual Net After-Tax Cash Flows 108,000
Annual Net Income 39,000
Year 3
Purchase Cost and Book Value 50,000
Annual Net After-Tax Cash Flows 96,000
Annual Net Income 43,000
Year 4
Purchase Cost and Book Value 18,000
Annual Net After-Tax Cash Flows 84,000
Annual Net Income 47,000
Year 5
Purchase Cost and Book Value 0
Annual Net After-Tax Cash Flows 72,000
Annual Net Income 51,000
Discounted Factors for a 12% Rate of Return
Present Value of $1.00 Received at the End of Each Period
Year 1: .89
Year 2: .80
Year 3: .71
Year 4: .64
Year 5: .57
Year 6: .51
Present Value of an Annuity of $1.00 Received at the End of Each Period
Year 1: .89
Year 2: 1.69
Year 3: 2.40
Year 4: 3.04
Year 5: 3.61
Year 6: 4.12
The net present value for the investment proposal is
A. $96,560
B. $106,160
C. $(97,970)
D. $356,160
B. $106,160
The NPV is the sum of the present values of all cash inflows and outflows associated with the proposal. If the NPV is positive, the proposal should be accepted. The NPV is determined by discounting each expected cash flow using the appropriate 12% interest factor for the present value of $1. Thus, the NPV is $106,160 [(.89 × $120,000) + (.80 × $108,000) + (.71 × $96,000) + (.64 × $84,000) + (.57 × $72,000) – (1.00 × $250,000)].
Foster Manufacturing is analyzing a capital investment project that is forecasted to produce the following cash flows and net income:
Year 0
After-Tax Cash Flows $(20,000)
Net Income $0
Year 1
After-Tax Cash Flows 6,000
Net Income 2,000
Year 2
After-Tax Cash Flows 6,000
Net Income 2,000
Year 3
After-Tax Cash Flows 8,000
Net Income 2,000
Year 4
After-Tax Cash Flows 8,000
Net Income 2,000
Foster’s cost of capital is 12%.
Foster’s internal rate of return (rounded to the nearest whole percentage) is
A. 12%
B. 14%
C. 40%
D. 5.
B. 14%
A capital project’s internal rate of return is the discount rate at which the net present value of the project’s cash flows equals zero, i.e., the rate at which discounted cash inflows equal discounted cash outflows. The net present value of this project at 12% can be calculated as follows:
After-Tax Cash Flows x PV Factor = Present Value
Investment $(20,000) × 1.000 = $(20,000)
Year 1 6,000 × 0.893 = 5,358
Year 2 6,000 × 0.797 = 4,782
Year 3 8,000 × 0.712 = 5,696
Year 4 8,000 × 0.636 = 5,088
$ 924
Thus, the answer must be greater than 12%. This problem is solved on basically a trial-and-error basis. At 14%, the net present value can be calculated as follows:
After-Tax Cash Flows x PV Factor = Present Value
Investment $(20,000) × 1.000 = $(20,000)
Year 1 6,000 × 0.877 = 5,262
Year 2 6,000 × 0.769 = 4,614
Year 3 8,000 × 0.675 = 5,400
Year 4 8,000 × 0.592 = 4,736
$ 12
The internal rate of return is thus slightly over 14%.
The Keego Company is planning a $200,000 equipment investment that has an estimated 5-year life with no estimated salvage value. The company has projected the following annual cash flows for the investment:
Year 1
Projected Cash Inflows: $120,000
Present Value of $1: .91
Year 2
Projected Cash Inflows: 60,000
Present Value of $1: .76
Year 3
Projected Cash Inflows: 40,000
Present Value of $1: .63
Year 4
Projected Cash Inflows: 40,000
Present Value of $1: .53
Year 5
Projected Cash Inflows: 40,000
Present Value of $1: .44
Totals
Projected Cash Inflows: $300,000
3.27
The net present value for the investment is
A. $100,000
B. $18,800
C. $218,800
D. $91,743
B. $18,800
The NPV is defined as the excess of the present value of the net cash inflows over the net cost of the investment. Discounting the future cash inflows by the present value factors results in an $18,800 NPV ($218,800 – $200,000).
$120,000 × .91 = $109,200
60,000 × .76 = 45,600
40,000 × .63 = 25,200
40,000 × .53 = 21,200
40,000 × .44 = 17,600
$218,800
A corporation uses net present value techniques in evaluating its capital investment projects. The company is considering a new equipment acquisition that will cost $100,000, fully installed, and have a zero salvage value at the end of its 5-year productive life. The corporation will depreciate the equipment on a straight-line basis for both financial and tax purposes. The corporation estimates $70,000 in annual recurring operating cash income and $20,000 in annual recurring operating cash expenses. The corporation’s desired rate of return is 12% and its effective income tax rate is 40%. What is the net present value of this investment on an after-tax basis?
A. $28,840
B. $36,990
C. $8,150
D. $80,250
B. $36,990
Annual cash outflow for taxes is $12,000 {[$70,000 inflows – $20,000 cash operating expenses – ($100,000 ÷ 5) depreciation] × 40%}. The annual net cash inflow is therefore $38,000 ($70,000 – $20,000 – $12,000). The present value of these net inflows for a 5-year period is $136,990 ($38,000 × 3.605 present value of an ordinary annuity for 5 years at 12%), and the NPV of the investment is $36,990 ($136,990 – $100,000 investment).