13.2. International Debt and International Aid Flashcards
National Deficit
When a government’s annual spending exceeds the income that it generates through taxes and other means
National Debt
Accumulation of yearly deficits
Austerity
Policies that aim to reduce government budget deficits through spending cuts, tax increases, or a combination of both
Debt Service Ratio
The proportion of country’s export earnings needed to meet its debt repayments. (can be 30% in some African nations)
Debt Crisis
A proliferation of massive public debt in a range of LIC countries relative to tax revenues during the 1980s-2000s
Why is a national debt seen to be negative for LIC / MIC countries?
- For LICs debt is a greater problem.
- A high proportion of their income is spent on interest payments to the IMF, World Bank and Governments in HICs) limiting the amount of money available to spend on infrastructure such as roads, schools, hospitals and developing the economy through industry and agriculture.
Why is it not quite so bad for large HICs to have a large debt?
- HICs have large assets against which they can borrow money, therefore the debt is thought to be manageable, unless there is a global financial crisis.
- Example: In 2012 USA spent around $220 billion in net interest on its debt.
Odious Debt
when a country’s government misappropriates money it has borrowed from another country
- a nation’s debt is considered odious debt when government leaders use borrowed funds in ways that do not benefit its citizens, and to the contrary, often oppress them.
Reasons for debt in countries
- excessive spending - budget compliance
- low GDP growth rates and poor competitiveness
- tax evasion
- corruption
- hidden borrowing
Causes of the International Debt Crisis
1) Levels of interest were historically low in the 1970s
- At same time Middle Eastern oil money was being invested in Western banks, reducing the interest rates.
- Low interest rates mean cheap, easy borrowing, but a shock if interest rates rise.
2) Falling commodity prices with LICs dependent on the export of commodities;
- Most LICs vulnerable as often based on one or two products, making them vulnerable to price fluctuations. As an example, coffee price has fallen by 50% in last 30 yrs.
3) 1979 Oil Crisis
- Led to a rapid increase in oil prices, with many countries not able to afford oil imports.
- Increased oil prices led to world recession in late 1970s and 1980s – forcing interest prices up to unmanageable levels.
4) Much of the debt accrued was odious debt.
5) Significant amounts of borrowing was misspent by
governments, meaning that the developmental benefits were not realised.
6) Drought (cash crops) and civil war.
Impacts of the International Debt Crisis
1) Between 1980 – 2010 HICs received over $500 billion in debt repayments;
- Much of these repayments were to cover the interest and not repay the debt.
2) As examples:
- In 2005, Sub-Saharan Africa, excluding South Africa, had debts of $230bn.
- Debt - service payments (repayments) amounted to $12bn annually – about four times what the region spent on health and education.
- Per capita debt was $365 but GNP per capita was only $308.
Debt relief
- Partial or total removal of debt, or the slowing or stopping of debt growth, owed by nations
- Achieved by the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries
- Initiative (HIPC), launched in 1996 by the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
- Initially, 41 countries were singled out to receive debt relief, including 30 African states
- A key point to note is that not all debt is cancelled; just the part that is unsustainable
To Qualify for Debt Relief, countries had to
1) Prove their debt was unsustainable, i.e. that it would be impossible - not just difficult - to pay it off.
It was argued that cancelling this debt would actually cost nothing because it could never be repaid anyway
2) Agree to IMF economic policy for 3 years. After the 3 years, the countries were then said to have reached decision point when a debt relief package would be agreed (show 3 years of good economic behaviour);
3) Agree to follow IMF economic policy for another 3 years, following which debts would be written off
Criticisms of Debt Relief
- IMF’s economic policy often took the form of Structural Adjustment Programmes
Structural Adjustment Programmes
- consist of loans provided by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank (WB) to countries that experienced economic crises
- SAPs were a requirement if a country wanted debt relief and further financial aid