1.3 Summary Slides on Review of Hypothesis Testing, Statistical Errors, and Effect Size Flashcards
Hypothesis testing
set of procedure used to assess the correctness of a hypothesis by examining sample data
the goal- to confirm or disconfirm predictions about differences among means (t, F), frequency/count data (chi square), or associations (r)
two types of hypotheses
- statistical Hypothesis
- research Hypotheses
Statistical Hypothesis
known as the null hypothesis -used to determines if the difference between means is reliably different where the null predicts that they are NOT different
Research Hypothesis
the predicted difference among means that is based on your beliefs about the outcomes of your study.
Prediction based on theory
Ex: people who get the drug, compared to those in the control condition, will recall more items on a memory test
The null and alternative hypothesis are:
The null hypothesis:
H0: µx = µy
The alternative hypothesis:
HA: µx ≠ µy
Alpha Level
The alpha level (a) is the probability of committing a Type I error.
- Convention usually holds that the probability of occurrence of a type I error should be less than a 5% (means that the null hypothesis will be rejected less than 5% of the time if there is, in fact, no difference between means)
Statistical significance
is determined by comparing the obtained statistical value (e.g., t statistics, F ratio) to a critical cutoff value
- accpeting or rejecting null hyp.
- If the obtained statistic (t or F) of greater that the critical cutoff value, then the null hypothesis is rejected, and differences are assumed to be true
alt way to determine stat significance
If the obtained p value is less than our designated alpha level (p < .05) then the null is rejected, and significance is determined
F-distribution
a one-tailed distribution
If the Fobt is greater than Fcrit then reject null
T2 = F
Errors in Hypothesis testing
Type 1 error- eject the null hypothesis, when it is true
Mistakenly concluding that there is a difference between means when no difference exists
Type 2 error: when accept the null hypothesis, when it is false
mistakenly concluding that there is no difference between means when a difference exists
Probability of committing Type 1 error is established by?
setting the alpha level (a)
- a of p< .05 means that the null hypothesis will be accidentally rejected 5% of the time
Thus, we have 95% confidence
-a of p<.01 means that the null hypothesis will be accidentally rejected 1% of the time
That gives us 99% confidence
Probability of committing Type 2 error is established by?
beta (B)
what is Power
The power of a test is a measure of one’s ability to reject the null hypothesis when it is false
Power is equal to 1 – beta
Power as an estimate ranges from 0 to 1.0, where 0 is no power and 1.0 is perfect power
Cohen recommends that power should be ≥ .8
Factors that affect Power
-effect size
-sample size
-variablity in the measure
-choice of alpha level
what does effect size describe?
the magnitude of the effect that an independent variable (factor) has on the dependent variable
-usually thought about in terms of small, medium, or large