1.2- Responding to Economic Challenges Flashcards

1
Q

Economic legacy of World War One

A
  • Loss of trade –During WW1 British ships were occupied shipping essential war supplies -with 20% being sunk in the process - and could not be used for exports. Economic rivals ( US and Japan) filled the gap left by a decline in British exports, took over British markets. Britain was also unable to trade with countries she was at war with - many of these countries became more self-sufficient, producing goods within the country that they had previously imported from Britain, and continued this practice one war had ended.
  • Debt – the war cost Britain £3.25 billion with debts of £8 billion by 1920– mainly to US banks. Wartime debts rose to 160% of income by 1924.
  • Value of the pound fell. Britain had been forced to abandon the gold standard in 1914, in order to be able to print enough money to cover the immense costs of the war. This decision resulted in a rise in inflation and a drop in the value of the pound (£1 was valued at $3.19 in 1919),
  • Inflation rose to 25% in 1918 which impacted upon prices.
  • Technological development accelerated in the war – particularly in medicine and transport, radio.
    Use of machine tools and assembly-line techniques encouraged employment of semi-skilled labour, taking jobs away from skilled workers. Britain fell behind in technological development - Countries like France and Germany saw many of their factories destroyed, were forced to purchase new, more modern machinery, giving them an edge over their British counterparts. Foreign industries to overtake British ones after WW1- by 1918 Germany was producing twice as much steel as Britain
  • nearly 900,000 men were killed - British Workforce
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2
Q

ineffective solutions to economic problems - Interest rates and value of the pound

A
  • Government set high interest rates to curb inflation and raise value of the pound against
    other currencies= curbed economic growth - more expensive for businesses to
    borrow and invest, people more likely to save then spend
  • Britain returned to the gold standard in 1925- following the report of the Cunliffe Committee in 1919,
    restored the pound to its pre-war value of $4.86 in 1925.
    disastrous for traditional industries. The high exchange rates made British exports more expensive and less competitive, industries such as coal, steel, shipping
    and textiles had an even harder time selling abroad.
  • Keynes famously argued Sterling was overvalued by 10% compared to the dollar –this, coupled with America’s low interest rates made American exports far more advantageous than British ones, further
    damaging Britain’s export market.
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3
Q

ineffective solutions to economic problems - Tax, spending and balancing the budget

A
  • To reduce inflation and repay war debts as quickly as possible taxes were raised each year after 1918 from £18 per capita in 1919 to £24 per capita in 1922
  • Lloyd George appointed a** Commission of National Expenditure under Sir Eric Geddes** to find out where savings could be made
  • 1922 Geddes Axe led to £24 million of cuts in spending on education, pensions, unemployment benefit, housing and health
  • Defence cut from £190 million to £111 million
  • Spending cuts contributed to growing unemployment
  • unemployment never fell below 1 million during the war years
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4
Q

neffective solutions to economic problems - protectionism

A
  • Government policies of ‘protectionism’ introduced duties and limited tariffs on foreign goods in order to protect Britain’s traditional industries, which struggled after WWI.
  • These policies may have helped in the short term but in the long term they created a lack of incentive to modernise in order to compete with new foreign traders
  • Industries avoided introducing the changes needed to become competitive in the long term, and so failed
  • Protectionist policies and tariffs also incited other countries to elect their own ‘tariff walls’ which further limited international trade.
  • After WW1 Britain struggled to reclaim dominance of the market -
  • By 1933 unemployment had reached 60% in shipbuilding areas, and 49% in iron and steel industries – demonstrating how a failure to modernise created the decline in traditional industry.
  • Newer industries, such as chemicals and cars, were neglected.
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5
Q

How did the rise of trade unions impact the economy

A
  • War had caused a huge growth it trade union membership – between 1915 and 1918 membership rose from 4.3 to 8.3 million –trade unions had far greater power and influence.
  • During the harsh 20’s employers in traditional industries were forced to cut costs – yet attempts at introducing** pay cuts or longer working hours were met with harsh resistance from the trade unions**
  • In 1926 – the year of the General Strike, there were 323 strikes launched, which led to a total of 162.23 million working days being lost.
  • Trade unions led to a lack of wage flexibility which resulted in employers firing workers to keep costs down
  • As a result unemployment never fell below 1 million between the two world wars.
  • TUS halted the progress of certain industries, particularly as their foreign competitors had much greater access to cheap manual labour (the US’s influx of immigrants gave it a huge advantage for economic growth).
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6
Q

Why was the 1930s referred to as the hungry 30s

A
  • The term ‘the hungry thirties’ refers to the 1930s being a period of depression and high unemployment. This was partly a political term begun by left wing historians in the 1940s wanting to darken the name of the Conservative Party, who they blamed for devastating economic slump of the early 1930s.
  • Modern historians have countered this view arguing that it is too simplistic. They argue that there was no single trend that identified that most people suffered a decline in living standards in this period.
  • A commonly held view now is that the impact of the depression on Britain was uneven
  • The areas that were hit the hardest were those that centred on the staple industries, such as coal in
    the north and in south Wales, textiles in Yorkshire and shipbuilding in Scotland and the Tyne – in the town of Jarrow in the north-east of England every man was made redundant after the coal mine, steel works and Palmer’s shipyard closed - Jarrow March in 1936
  • Unemployment rose to 2.5 million (25% of the workforce) in 1933, but it was higher in the north of Britain
  • The depression also lowered productivity for the whole country, and so demand for products such as coal and steel fell – with coal use in the UK dropping from 180 million tonnes in 1929 to 155 million tonnes in 1935
  • However, while these areas suffered from high unemployment, areas such as London and the south east remained prosperous as consumer industries enjoyed boomed.
  • This encouraged the two nations view of poor and rich and north and south.
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7
Q

Why was the pound devalued in 1931

A
  • The Great Depression led to a fall in exports by 50% and unemployment rising to 2.5 million in 1933.
  • The government cut spending and maintained high interest rates to preserve the value of the pound,
    which was still attached to the Gold Standard.
  • This policy divided the Labour government (Labour were particularly against the 10% cuts in
    unemployment benefit) , who resigned which led to the formation of the National Government in
    1931.
  • 12 000 Soldiers mutiny in Scotland 1931 in opposition to pay cuts - leads to change in policy
  • The National Government removed the pound from the Gold Standard and devalued the pound; the
    pound depreciated from $4.80 to $3.40
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8
Q

Impact of pound being removed from gold standard 1931

A

The removal of the pound from the Gold Standard allowed for a quicker recovery from the depression compared with other countries.
* Unemployment fell from 17% to 8.5% between 1932 and 1937.
* Interest rates were cut from 6% to 2% leading to greater borrowing. This policy was called ‘Cheap
Money’.

* Rate of long term government borrowing cut by 1.5% slashing the cost of government debt
repayment

* Greater borrowing triggered a** boom in mortgages** and house building.
* Exports were cheaper as prices of British goods fell by 45% and sales went up by 28%.
* Industrial production rose by 46%.

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9
Q

Impact of second world war on economic policy

A
  • Churchill expanded the government’s role in managing the war economy and created a series of ministries which had a specific role in economic management
  • These ministries had extensive powers of economic management.
  • The government also controlled prices through controlling production levels.
  • The National Government transformed Britain into a managed economy; rationing and conscription
    introduced immediately, Registration for employment made compulsory
    in 1941; 8.5 million work
    orders issued, By 1945 1/3 of citizens involved in war work
  • The growth of state intervention led to a huge increase in war production and military spending.
    Between 1941 and 1945, over half the government spending was on military.
    and continued to be priority after war- 10% of GDP in 1951
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10
Q

what was the impact of austerity economic measures in 1940s

A
  • In 1945, Britain had accumulated £4 billion worth of debt to the USA and with an additional loan in 1945, it would cost Britain £70 million a day just to finance the debt.
  • There was a £700 million deficit
  • The Attlee Government embarked upon a series of austerity measures – which was a programme of
    cuts in government spending, controlling private spending and rationing of goods.
  • This was unpopular with the British public – the most outraged were the trade unions, who were
    requested to accept a wage freeze or face legal pay restraints.
  • However, austerity measures did not work alone. With the harsh winter of 1947 led to an economic
    crisis which hit industrial production and Britain having to pay for goods in dollars and not pounds, making imports more expensive, Attlee was forced to devalue to pound in 1949.
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11
Q

impact of nationalisation on key industries in 1940s

A
  • The nationalisation of key industries was a centrepiece of Attlee’s economic policy.
  • The aim of nationalisation was to create full employment and to ensure the effective management
    of the key industries, which had been for too long inefficient.
  • By 1950 10% of the work force were employed in nationalised industries
  • The nationalisation of coal, the Bank of England, transport infrastructure, electricity, gas, iron and
    steel cost the government over £2 billion in buying out the previous owners of the key industries.
  • This meant that the government had little money left over to invest in the key industries in
    modernising them. Eventually, this left them lagging behind international competitors.
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12
Q

economic approach of Butskellism of 50s and 60s

A
  • The 1951-64 Conservative governments largely accepted Labour’s post war welfare reforms and approach to managing the economy along Keynesian lines. - but reprivatisation of steel and road
  • Both parties accepted the commitment to full employment and a mixed economy.
  • Such was the closeness of the economic policies of Labour and Conservative governments of the
    1950s, The Economist coined the phrase ‘Butskellism’ to describe this consensual approach.
  • ‘Butskellism’ came from the names of the Conservative Chancellor, R. A. Butler, and the Labour
    leader, Hugh Gaitskell.
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13
Q

illusion of affluence in 50s and 60s

A

‘You’ve never had it so good’ – the illusion of affluence (macmillian)
* The 1950s was seen as a period of affluence with increased consumer spending - Consumer spending rose by 45%
* This increase was based on the ability for people to borrow money to spend. This had significant consequences –
- Growth in inflation (around 4%)
- Increase in imports which led to an imbalance in balance of payments.

encouraged by Stop-go economics **
* The Conservative governments of 1951-64 encouraged this growth in consumer spending by relaxing laws on borrowing and credit (low interest rates and taxes).
* However, when the problems of inflation and import prices became serious, controls to slow the economy down (raising taxes and interest rates and lowing wages) were put in place.
* This i
nconsistent policy** towards economic growth was called ‘stop-go economics’ and demonstrated that** controlling unemployment and inflation was impossible.**

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14
Q

corporatism of 50s and 60s

A
  • It was clear in the 1950s that Britain was lagging behind its world competitors in terms of economic growth (2.3% a year compared to 5.6% in Italy and 5.1% in Germany).
  • Macmillan’s 1957-63 government decided to follow a corporatism policy – a managed economy uniting labour, management and government through corporations to plan and achieve economic goals. He set up two department nicknamed NEDDY and NICKY
  • NEDDY – The National Development Council and Office. Aimed to produce reports for future of economy. Recommended pay freezes and tax increases. Not popular
  • NICKY – the National Incomes Commission. NICKY was an advisory body for unions and management. Tried to steer course of wages. Trade unions refused to cooperate with it at all.
  • met considerable opposition from within Tory Party , treasury and capitalist media = quick u turn
  • corporationist ideas continued by Wilson through Department of Economic Affairs
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15
Q

what is Dash for growth post 1950s

A
  • launched 1963 after conservatives abandon corporatism
  • Dash for growth’ was simply a demand management strategy based on the idea that injecting high
    levels of demand into the economy for a sustained period would stimulate investment, raise
    productivity
    , and thus enable the expansion to become self- sustaining.
  • Inevitably, the policy was a complete failure, higher demand simply led to more imported goods, a
    massive balance of payments deficit occurred, and capital ran scared from the faltering British economy.
  • The Tories lost to Labour and never had to deal with the consequences of this policy
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16
Q

stagflation of 1960s

A
  • By 1964, the key economic problem was it was in a period of stagflation – where there is both high inflation and low economic growth and unemployment (which was supposed to be impossible under Keysian economics)
    The key causes of stagflation by 1964 were –
  • Increased consumer spending lead to more imports which led to a balance of payments
    deficit leading to threat to the value of the pound.
  • Increased borrowing from the IMF.
  • Rising unemployment.
17
Q

Wilson and devaluation of the pound

A
  • Wilson **attempted to improve economic planning **and invest in the ‘white heat’ of technology, but attempts failed due to continuing stagflation
  • The DEA created a National plan to stimulate growth, but was over ambitious and never got off the ground due to lack of departmental resources, defined authority and bad relations with the treasury.
    * Labour instead continued to use failing stop-go policies
  • Wilson had been determined to avoid a devaluation of the pound, not wanting labour to be known as
    the ‘party of devaluation’
  • Yet in 1967 he was humiliatingly** forced to cut the value of the pound from $2.80 to $2.40**
  • Wilson tried to reassure British through the ‘pound in your pocket’ speech, but he suffered a huge loss of
    credibility
  • Aside from this Wilson’s government suffered from increased unemployment (900 000 in 1964) and
    growing TU unrest - during the 60’s 3.6 million days were lost to strikes.
18
Q

How did Heath tackle the economy 1970s and fail

A

How did Heath attempt to tackle the economy?
* Outlined ideas in Selsdon Man
* Wanted to reduce state intervention - with a more hands off approach to governing
* The budget of 1971 Cut state spending and tax
* Tried to control the unions - 1971 Industrial Relations Act

Why did Heaths policy fail?

  • Oil crisis 1973 - the price of suddenly oil rose by 70%, which had a dramatic impact of the UK economy
  • Rising inflation - After the oil price rise inflation rose by 20%
  • Rising Unemployment - Unemployment reached 1 million by 1972
  • Heath took a U-turn in government policy
  • £2.5 billion was pumped into the economy in increased pensions, benefits and tax reductions (known as the Barber boom)
  • This brought down the unemployment level to 550 000 by 1974, however it indicated the Selsdon Man had been completely abandoned
19
Q

Why did Britian apply for a loan from international Monetary Fund 1976

A
  • The consequences of the 1973 oil crisis led to rapid inflation and the pound falling in value to the extent by 1976, Britain was almost bankrupt.
  • Callaghan’s response in a key speech was –
    ‘We used to think you could spend your way out of a recession and increase employment by cutting taxes and boosting government spending …. That option no longer exists’
  • Such was Britain’s position in 1976, the government negotiated a £3 billion loan from the International
    Monetary Fund
    . Britain could have the loan only if they made major cuts in public spending.
  • The impact of this was the abandonment of Keynesian economics, formal withdrawal from the
    commitment to full employment
    and paved the way for Thatcher’s more radical approach from 1979.
20
Q

Response to economic problems of the Great Depression and the Second World War

A
  • Wall Street crash led to collapse of global trade and European nations were unable to repay debts to Britain
  • US introduced high tariffs to keep out foreign goods and recalled foreign loans
  • bankers concerned about loss of money loaned to Germany and other countries - could not recall loans = demanded further spending cuts to boost economic confidence
  • unemployment rose to 15% in 1932 - doubled = decline in tax revenue and increase in financial assistance needed
  • 1931 spending cuts BUT the £80 million loan was being used up
  • 12,000 sailors in opposition to pay cuts in Scotland - triggered change in economic policies
  • Britain left the gold standard - pound allowed to float against other currencies = depreciation in value from $4.80 to $3.40
21
Q

Response to economic problems of the Great Depression and the Second World War
SUCCESS of measures

A
  • British exports became 25% cheaper and more competitive
  • interests rates (that had been kept high to prop up value of the pound) cut from 6% to 2%
  • rate on long term government borrowing was cut from 5% to 3.5% = slashed costs of government debt repayment and allowed for increased spending in other areas eg- restoration of unemployment benefits in 1934
  • allowed for businesses to borrow and invest more
  • increase in availability for cheaper mortgages - fuelled boom in house construction - 1/3 new jobs between 1931-1934
  • rearmament in 1935- 15% of unemployed found work in old industries such as steel iron and shipbuilding
    *= impact of Americas Great Depression was not as hard on Britain as other European countries
22
Q

Second World War and the managed economy
1939- 51
SHORT TERM IMPACT

A

*National government had no reservations about interfering in people’s lives - total war
* rationing and conscription
* government made registration for employment compulsory - 8.5 million essential work orders that forced people to do particular jobs
* 1945- e.w million people worked in munitions
* 4 million in other war work
5.5 million conscripted in the armed forces
* main strikes in period to boost wages rather than attack government planning

23
Q

Second World War and the managed economy
1939- 51
LONG TERM IMPACT

A
  • increased acceptance of government management of the economy
  • 194c- government declared its long term responsibility for the maintenance of high employment
    Keynes’s economic theory- rather to aim to balance the budget the government should borrow and spend more money to stimulate a recovery
24
Q

Unsolvable problems of Butskellism and stop go policies 1951 and 64

A

INFLATION- priority was to maintain inflation at low level- prices rise - policies to “stop” the economy. - rasing tax or limiting pay increases. - unable to prevent build up of inflationary pressure
UNEMPLOYMENT- conservatives pledged to maintain full employment, if economy began to dip then expansion measures were taken - cutting taxes or interest rates. Criticised of suing popular measures just before election to put a political gain
SLOW GROWTH British economy grew at a slower rate than its competitors
2.3% compared to 5.6% of Italy
Due to lack of investment in research and development in areas other than defence

25
Q

Failure to cope with stagflation 1964 - 1979

A
  • Wilson and Callaghan failed to improve conservative record
  • attempts made to improve planing and increase investment in new technology but failed to make substantial impact due to growing inflation, unemployment and slow growth
  • department of Economic Affairs was launched in 1964- National Plan to stimulate growth but lacked departmental resources, authority or decent working relations with the treasury
  • damaging - lack of consistency of the value of the pound
    1967- failed to borrow his way out of economic trouble he was forced to cut tithe value of the pound from $2.80 to $2.40
  • suffered loss of credibility
  • Wilson’s application for Britain to join European Economic Community was vetoed by French president
26
Q

How was inflation and unemployment boosted in UK due to events of the Middle East 1964-79

A

*1973- OPEC raised oil prices by 70% in retaliation for American supppirt of Israel during war
*1974- oil prices had risen by 400%
* contributed to general inflation (25% in 1976) due to increased cost of energy and fuel for transport
* forced the labour government to try and cap prices and wages and to cut spending
* measures not popular with voters and not with trade union baker
* unemployment doubled 1974 to 19j76 - 1.5 million

= Winter of Discontent - Thatcher

27
Q

Role of Oswlad Mosely and Snowden in economics post Great Depression AND IMAPCT OF DEPRESSION

A
  • mosley - radical and new ideas - nationsaliin industries and investing large scale public work programs to reduce unemployment - rejected
  • Snowden- hoping that British exports would take off again and wanted to reduce public ependiture
  • banks owned much of British debt - increasing spending on social welfar due tot axation or borrowing could affect the value of the pound and cause banks losing million
  • banks began panic selling
  • Snowden and Mcdoanld forced to curt spending to reasure them
  • = means testing of assistance , disportionate in industrial regions, hunger marches with limited government response
  • Great depression did not last - 1937 real incomesm industrial products and exports all increased
  • unemployment fell to 8.5%