11 - Economic Performance Flashcards
What is the ONS?
An independent body who collate data about things which affect the UK. They report on inflation figures, and economic growth.
What challenges has the UK economy faced?
Covid-19, Global Financial crisis.
What are the current rates of economic growth?
0.1-0.3%.
What is Economic Growth?
The growth of the total value of goods and services in an economy year on year.
What is the primary sector?
Involves extraction of raw materials.
What % of GDP did the primary sector make up in 1952, compared to now?
1952 - 8.09%. 2016 - 1.30%.
What is the secondary sector?
Involved transforming raw materials into a finished product. e.g. Textiles, Manufacturing.
What % of GDP did it make up in 1952, compared to now?
1952 - 38.19%. 2016 - 15.11%.
What is the tertiary sector?
Involves service and retail, and the provision of goods. e.g. financial institutions, schools, Hotels.
What % of GDP did it make up in 1952, compared to now?
1952 - 53.72%, 2016 - 83.59%.
What is the quaternary sector?
Intellectual services, research and development. e.g. Programmers, IT services, Artists.
What fuels short term economic growth?
Changes in Aggregate Demand.
How can firms increase output in the short run?
Increasing output, by fully utilising all factors of production.
Which diagram shows short run economic growth?
PPF Diagram.
Which Factors affect Aggregate Demand?
Consumption, Investment, Government Spending, Imports, Exports.
What do further increases of Aggregate Demand lead to?
Higher Inflation.
Which supply side factors lead to short run economic growth?
A fall in money supply, A fall in taxes imposed on firms.
What is the trend growth rate?
The rate at which output can grow on a sustained basis without putting pressure on inflation.
What is the current trend growth rate of the UK?
Below 2%.
What has happened to the number of economically inactive people?
It has increase, as people have left the workforce since COVID.
What are the causes of Long Run Economic Growth?
Improvements in Technology, Investment, Increase in the size of the labour force, Improvements in productivity.
What do supply side reforms do to the economy?
Increase labour productivity.
How does Aggregate Demand play a role in Long Run growth?
Firms will only produce more goods or services if there is enough demand to absorb extra output.
What does the neoclassical growth theory state?
A sustained increase in investment increases growth rate temporarily, Ratio of capital to labour goes up, product of capital declines.
What is the weakness of the neoclassical theory?
It doesn’t explain why technological progress occurs.
What does the new growth theory state?
It says there are three main sources of technological progress, which explains long run growth.
What are the three factors stated in the new growth theory?
Profit seeking research, openness to foreign idea, accumulation of human capital.
What are the benefits of economic growth?
Increases standard of living, provides new, more environmentally friendly technologies.
What are the disadvantages of economic growth?
Uses up finite resources, pollution and environmental degradation, Destroys local culture and community, widening inequality.
What is the economic cycle?
The way an economy moves through the four stages of boom, slowdown, recession, and recovery.
What are the characteristics of a Boom?
High inflation, High consumer spending, low unemployment, low interest rates, high consumer confidence, higher taxes.
What are the characteristics of a recession?
High unemployment, high taxation, low consumer confidence, high business failure, low tax revenue, low inflation.
What are the characteristics of a slowdown?
Decreasing consumer confidence, decreasing spending, increasing business failures, falling demand.
What are the characteristics of a recovery?
Rising consumer confidence, rising consumer spending, rising business start ups, decreasing unemployment, low interest rates.
What are the causes of changes in the economic cycle?
Fluctuations in Aggregate Demand, Supply side factors, outside shocks, multiplier theory.
What do output gaps measure?
Real output, compared to the trend output level.
What is the output gap?
A gap between the change in demand and output levels.
What can a positive output gap lead to?
Cost - push, or demand - pull inflation.
What can a negative output gap lead to?
A lower price level, a rise in unemployment.
What happened to the UK’s output gap between 2000-2008?
The UK had a positive output gap, which accompanied a booming economy.
What happened to the output gap in 2008?
It was negative, after the global financial crisis.
What has happened to real incomes since 2008?
They have fallen, due to consecutive pay freezes.
What are the examples of demand side shocks?
Economic Downturn in a country’s major trading partner, tax increases, cuts in state benefits, Financial crises, rise in unemployment.
What are the examples of supply side shocks?
Steep rise in oil and gas prices, natural disasters, conflict, production technology, lockdown of citizens.
What is a shock?
An unexpected event that affects the economy, or economic growth.
What is an endogenous shock?
An unexpected event, which is internal.
What are exogenous shocks?
An unexpected event happening outside of the economy.
What are the examples of endogenous events?
Changes in income of a country, economic growth, availability of credit, conflict, extreme weather.
What are the examples of exogenous events?
Fall/rise in global oil prices, migration levels rise/fall. Health crises, war, global recession.
What is the criteria of being officially unemployed?
Of Working age, willing and able to work, actively seeking work.
How is unemployment measured?
The Labour Force survey, which asks households to self identify as employed, unemployed, or economically inactive.
What are periods of high unemployment linked to?
Contraction of economic growth.
What has unemployment stayed above in the last 50 years?
3.5%.
What can the national unemployment rate hide?
Regional and local variations, variations in gender, age, ethnicity, doesn’t say duration of joblessness.
What has the unemployment rate been compared to other G7 nations?
The UK has never had the highest unemployment rate in the G7, and has a similar rate to Canada, and the USA.
What is the difference between long term unemployment and mass unemployment?
Long term unemployment is people who have been unemployed for 12 months or more. Mass unemployment is where 1 in 10 people at least are out of the Labour Force.
What is Hidden Unemployment?
People who don’t have jobs, and aren’t actively looking for work, but are willing and able, so are not counted in the official rate.
What are the examples of hidden unemployment?
Students, Stay at home parents, people unable to work due to disability.
What does Structural unemployment result from?
The structural decline of industries unable to adapt, when there is changing demand.
What does technological unemployment result from?
Successful growth of new industry, using labour saving technology.
What is an example of structural unempoyment?
Changes in technology leading to changes in the pattern of demand.
What does growth of solar panels lead to?
Job losses when coal power stations shut down.
Why can structural unemployment be hard to separate from other causes of unemployment?
Changes in Aggregate demand can be hard to measure.
What happened to manufacturing between 1993-2008?
Manufacturing output grew, manufacturing employment fell.
What does cyclical unemployment believe?
A lack of aggregate demand for goods and services is a cause of persistent unemployment.
What does cyclical unemployment lead to?
A downturn in the economic cycle, and says that the economy could settle at an under-unemployment equilibrium.
Is cyclical unemployment voluntary or involuntary?
Involuntary, as it’s not caused by workers, and people shouldn’t be blamed.
What are the causes of cyclical unemployment?
The economic cycle, aggregate demand decreases, so workers have to be laid off.
What does deficient aggregate demand lead to?
The economy producing inside the PPF.
What are the causes of hidden unemployment?
Many long term unemployment give up actively searching for work. A large cohort of people are sidelined onto benefits. A growing number of people are unemployed, as they care for elderly relatives.
Why may unemployment figures not be accurate?
LFS can’t always be representative of the whole UK, there is always scope for error. Measured unemployment excludes economically inactive people. Unemployment isn’t the same as under employment.
What are the examples of seasonal unemployment?
Farming, Tourism, Retail, Hospitality, Construction, Tuition.
What are the causes of structural unemployment?
New jobs require new skills, unaffordable housing, employer discrimination, erosion of skills, welfare system.
How can frictional unemployment be reduced?
By making information on jobs more available, making job search more affordable.
What are the causes of frictional unemployment?
School and college leavers entering labour market, people searching for work following a career change, early retired people returning to the labour market, mothers returning.
What type of unemployment is workers being made redundant from a steel plant during a downturn in construction?
Cyclical.
What type of unemployment is a graduate who spends six months searching for work after leaving university?
Frictional.
What type of unemployment is a mother actively searching for work, unable to accept a job offer due to childcare?
Structural.
What type of unemployment is an unemployed farmer finding it hard to find new work?
Structural.
What type of unemployment is people working in aircraft freight businesses losing their jobs due to a contraction in trade?
Cyclical.
What is real wage unemployment?
Unemployment caused by wages being too high relative to the productivity of workers.
Why may firms be unwilling to hire workers at current wage rates?
They believe workers aren’t worth that much.