11 Aggregate Demand, Aggregate Supply and Macroeconomic Policy Flashcards
Aggregate Demand and Supply curve x & y axis
X: Output Y (real GDP)
Y: Inflation rate (pie)
On graph:
AD
AS: Short-run
AS (vertical line): Long-run (Y*) - potential output
All 3 intersect means at LONG-RUN equilibrium
Contractionary gap occurs when actual output (more/less) than potential output
Expansionary gap (more/less)
LESS
MORE
Aggregate demand (AD) curve shows
Total amt of output at each inflation rate by consumers, firms, govt, foreigners
When inflation rate is high
- C, IP, NX decrease
- PAE decrease
- Y decrease
2 main causes in shift in Aggregate Demand (AD) curve
- Demand shocks
(factors that cause C, I, G, NX to change other than inflation rate)
- Consumer confidence
- Consumer wealth
- Business confidence
- Opportunities to buy new technologies
- Foreign demand for domestic good - Stabilization policy
- Fiscal policy - change in govt spending/ taxes (C&G)
- Monetary policy - change in money supply by central bank which changes interest rate (I)
Aggregate Supply (AS) curve shows
r/s between amt of output FIRMS want to produce and inflation rate
Inc in AD will Inc willingness to supply and Inc inflation rates
Inflation inertia
Inflation will remain relatively constant so long economy is at potential output and no external shocks
If past few years inflation rate is low - expected inflation for following years is low - output has low
What happens to behaviour of inflation when r/s of output & potential output changes
Expansionary gap Y>Y* : Inflation INC (so ppl buy less)
Y=Y*: Inflation STABLE
Recessionary gap Y<Y*: Inflation DEC (encourage ppl to buy more)
Current inflation formula
Current inflation (pie) = expected inflation (pie e) + inflation from an output gao
3 main causes in shift in Aggregate Demand (AD) curve
- Changes in avail resources and technology (inc, shift right)
- Changes in inflation expectations (inc, shift LEFT - high inflation will ask for higher wage, hire less workers, produce less output)
- Inflation shock (not related to output gap eg resource price inc)
How do curves shift when:
Favourable demand shock
Unfavorable demand shock
Favourable supply shock
Favourable demand shock: D shift right
Adverse demand shock: D shift left
Favourable supply shock: S shift right
Adverse demand shock: S shift left
When there is expansionary gap, 2 things can happen
- Govt change policy to close output gap
- Govt do nth, let self-correction mechanism close output gap by itself (no change in AD curve)
Expansionary gap:
When expected inflation inc, workers demand for (higher/lower) wages, firms employ (more/less) workers, produce (more/less) output, AS (increase/decrease) and shifts (right/left)
When expected inflation inc, workers demand for HIGHER wages, firms employ LESS workers, produce LESS output, AS DECREASE and shifts LEFT
until curve shifts to Y* (potential output)
- C, I, NX will drop
What to do when expected inflation change (to close output gap)? Shift AD or AS curve?
Shift AS curve - when expected inflation change - when wages change
Self-correcting mechansim:
If slow - use fiscal and monetary policy to stabilize economy
If fast - just let it self-correct. using ^ may not be effective and destabilize economy
Using stabilization policy to close output gap - shift AD or AS curve?
AD curve to the right to Y*
- Increase in govt spendings (G inc)
- Decrease taxes (C inc)
- Increase money supply to lower interest rate (I inc)