11 Flashcards

1
Q

Consumption

A

expenditure on goods and services by private individuals
–> biggest expenditure component of GDP (50-70%)

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2
Q

Consumption and GDP volatility

A

Consumption follows GDP but is less volatile than GDP (moves less over time)

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3
Q

Idea of Basic Keynesian Model of Consumption

A

people consume their income and they consume more as their income increases
–> but not as much as the increase in income

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4
Q

Household perspective on consumption and savings

A

either you consume your income or you save it

C/Y = 1 - S/Y

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5
Q

Why is the Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) so important?

A

Keynes’ idea: changes in demand determine economic flucuations

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6
Q

National Accounts identity

A

Output = Consumption + Government Expenditure + Investment

Y = C + G+ I
insert C
Y = (A+G+I) / (1-c)

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7
Q

Consumption function

A

C = A + (c*Y)

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8
Q

Keynesian Multiplier

A

1/1-c > 1

due to impact effect and multiplier effect

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9
Q

Keynesian Multiplier - Intuition

A
  • an increase in government consumption raises aggregate demand and production
  • firms increase hiring and wages and thus income increases
  • people use some of the extra income to consume
  • an increase in consumption raises aggregate demand and production
  • firms increase hiring and wages and thus income increases
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10
Q

Permanent Income Model

A
  • Individuals make complex plans throughout their lives
  • they form expectations about the future
  • they aim to forecast the lifetime pattern of their income and they plan consumption accordingly
  • individuals are going to consume very different fractions of their current income
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11
Q

Implications of the Permanent Income Model

A

Consumption varies less than income today, because changes are distributed over periods
- it will not fall as much in recessions
- it will not rise as much in booms
- consumption smoothing

A temporary increase in income has a lower impact on consumption today than a permanent increase
- additional income will be used to increase consumption a little bit in each period
- crucial wenn thinking about fiscal policy
- temporary increase gives a low MPC –> low multiplier

Expectations about future income can change consumption today

Savings can be lower if individuals expect their income to grow

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12
Q

Caveats of the Permanent Income Model

A

People have the ability to anticipate their future income ( and uncertainty –> higher savings) => lower multiplier

people must be able to borrow
–> if they can’t: borrowing constraints –> lower C today => large multiplier

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13
Q

Lifetime budget constraint

A

C(1) + C(2) / (1+r) = Y(1) + Y(2) / (1+r)

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