10. CME 1 Flashcards
Capital Market Expectations: Part 1
Framework and Macro Considerations
10 LOS
Essay | Econ: 10%, 8%, 8%
10a: Discuss the role/framework of/for capital market expectations in the portfolio management process
10b. Discuss challenges in developing capital market forecasts.
10c. Explain how exogenous shocks may affect economic growth trends
10d. Discuss the application of economic growth trend analysis
10e. compare major approaches to economic forecasting;
10f. Discuss how business cycles -> expectations (ST | LT)
10g. Explain the relationship of inflation to the business cycle and the implications of inflation for cash, bonds, equity, and real estate returns
10h. Discuss the effects of monetary/fiscal policy on business cycles
10i. Interpret the yield curve shape as an economic predictor and discuss the relationship between the yield curve and fiscal and monetary policy
10j. Identify and interpret macroeconomic, interest rate, and exchange rate linkages between economies.