10 - Climate change (part 1) Flashcards
What is climate change? E.g.
Long-term variations of the average weather conditions experienced in a particular region
e.g. Edmonton has milder winters than 30 years ago
What is global warming? E.g.
Increase over time in the average temperature across the entire planet
e.g. The planet as a whole is on average 1C warmer than it was in 1880
IPCC definition of climate change
Of climate: Changes in the mean and/or variability of its properties and that persists for an extended period, typically decades or longer.
Due to natural internal processes or external forcings
The IPCC definition of climate change makes a distinction between…
climate attributable to human activities altering the atmospheric composition and climate variability attributable to natural causes
“in addition to natural climate variability”
Six main drivers of climate change
- Aerosols
- Natural fluctuations in solar output
- Clouds
- Ozone
- Greenhouse gases and large aerosols
- Surface albedo changes
Slide 7
Examples of processes that warm the atmosphere? Cool it?
Warm:
- CO2 emissions from land clearing, fires
- warming from decreased ice and snow cover
- greenhouse gases
- heat and CO2 emissions from the ocean
Cool:
- CO2 removal by plants and soil orgs
- aerosols
- cooling from increase in snow and ice
- heat and CO2 removal by ocean
Factors that altered climate over the past ~3.5 billion years? How has climate fluctuated over the past 800-900k years?
Factors: large-scale volcanic eruptions, impacts by meteors and asteroids, changes in solar input
Fluctuations through glacial and interglacial periods
When was the last interglacial period? How long as temperature been stable?
Started 10k years ago (ongoing)
Temp fairly stable for past 1k years, but rising since 1975 (GHGs)
Slides 11, 12
Temperature changes/variation
Events that can cause climatic shifts (4)
- variations in solar output
- variation in Earth’s orbit
- volcanic and meteorite events
- anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions
How does the amount of solar output vary? Why? The amount of sun the earth receives is termed…
The amount of solar radiation we receive from the sun varies on daily, yearly, decadal, centennial and millennial basis
Changes in Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) are caused mostly by changes in activity of sunspots and faculae (more sunspots = increased TSI)
What are sunspots? Faculae?
Sunspots = dark spots on the surface of the sun in which magnetic forces are very strong and block the hot solar plasma; they are cooler and darker than their surroundings
Faculae = bright spots on the surface of the sun, that put out more radiation than normal; their numbers increase and decrease alongside sunspots
More sunspots = more faculae = increased TSI
Variation of total solar irradiance over time?
Peaks roughly every 11 years
Cyclic
Little change, not the main cause of climate change
Slide 16
When was the “Little Ice Age”? What was it
16th to mid 19th century
Europe: longer winters, famine from crop failure, sea ice isolated Iceland and Greenland
North America: longer winters, food shortages recorded by Indigenous communities
What is eccentricity? Two extremes? How does it affect solar radiation?
Our orbit around the sun is eccentric (changes over time)
Perihelion = closest to sun
Aphelion = farthest from sun
3% difference between them (5 million km)
This difference equates to a 6% difference in the solar radiation reaching the Earth in perihelion vs aphelion