WEEK 5 POLICY AND HUMAN HEALTH Flashcards
A Model of the Links Between Farm
Policy and Obesity
Model of the links between farm policy and obesity
so basically farm commodities are aggregated into 10 commodities by OECD and other
subsidies tattigd rand d and tariffs affect these and the cost shares and industry shates determines retaid food products
just look at notes
consumer support measure value
for farm commodities consumer support measures value have interpretations
positive means consumer subsidy; negative means tax
consumets of grain crops and meat are effectively subsidized by 18% and 20.7%
for meat its because the ingredients used to produce meat are heavily subsidized (inouts subsidized) relays to final subsidy
consumers of vegetables and melons; fruits and tree nuts; sugar cane; fish and aquacutlure; dairy cattle are taxed by tariffs paid at border
Scenario where support on grains and oilseeds are removed
Subsidies for these crops are the
major concern among the critics that
link agricultural policies to obesity
price inc for ingredients might see obesity rated decline
decrease in caloric consumption
Scenario where all support is removed
inc in calproe consumptions
likely to import more and end up increasing consumption
in dairy indudstry if fmmo remvoed, dairy prices fall; dairy consumption increases
magnitude of effects
small and modest
over year so not much of a change
the cost share of farm commodities is so small; so heavily subsidized products as a total crop share–> thus effects pretty small
summary
Effects of policies on food consumption, and
caloric intake is modest and mixed, overall
The effects are largest for sugar and dairy
Removing grain and oilseed support would
lead to a decrease in caloric intake by about
1400 kcal per person per year
The critics are correct, but the impact is small
Removing all agricultur al support would
increase total annual consumption by
approximately 3000 kcal
Over the past two decades the effects of
agricultural policy on caloric intake has not
increased, and more likely has fallen
All farm commodities have become much
more abundant and cheaper generally
over the past 25 years in the U.S.
This abundance mainly reflects the
effects of technological innovations and
increases in farm productivity, not
agricultural policies.
There are many reasons to be critical of
U.S. (and EU and Japanese) agricultural
policies, but our analysis indicates that
removing them would have little impact
on obesity.
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