Political Parties and Pressure Groups Flashcards
quote to show party similarities
1997 Mark Shields
‘as of today, country has two republican parties, seperated by the issue of abortion’
some factors which have led to the strengthening of national party structures
new campaign finance laws=money went national
tv can reach anyone
sophisticated opinion polls- can see what people think
national committee
DNC+RNC offices in washington
2016 Trump nominated Ronna Romney McDaniel
2017 DNC former secretary of lab Tom Perez
what do the NC do
raise money, hire staff, organise NPC
what did Lord Bryce say about the two parties
‘like two bottles with different labels, both empty’
no substance
polling to show what people thought about hte differences between parties
‘72 44% no important difference between 46% yes
2012 51% yes
polling when asked do you think 1 party is more conservative than the other
1984 yes, repub=53%
2012 yes repub=73%
Voting ideology 2016
26% liberal
35% cons
10% liberal voted republican 84% dem
81% con voted republican 15% dem
What has happened to party members
Hyper partisanship
Less cons+ moderates in dem
Where is democrat party moving
Left
2016 ideology of democrat candidates
Clinton- moderate
Sanders- the left
How did sanders describe himself
Democratic socialist alternative
What do exit pollls show about Liberal Democrat’s
53% to 43% pref sanders over Clinton
What do exit pollls show about non Liberal Democrat’s
Clinton by 61%-36%
Both show only a marginal difference so wasn’t based on ideology
Christian Right
Christian groups closely linked to evangelicals
Want social changes favouring ‘family values’
E.g prolife, prayer in public schools
Tea party movement
Fight for reduction or national debt + federal budget deficit
Lower federal taxes
What was George Bush’s ‘compassionate conservatism’
Traditional conservative beliefs used in order to improve lives for those who felt abandoned by gov+ society
Evidence to show women’s support for democrats
9/10 between 1964-2000
Women significantly more supportive of democrat candidate than men
2016 gender gap for trump
11 points
52% men
41% women
Gender gap for Clinton
13 points
54% women
41% men
Trumps support among non married women
32%
Why is there a gender gap
Policy difference
Support for democrats of African Americans between 1980-2016
Never Less than 83%
Black people voting democratic- rise 2004-2008
88% to 95%
Black turnout
Made up 13% in 2012
Clinton- black support went back to 89%
Growth of Hispanic group
2000 12%
2010 16%+
Younger gen vote importance of their vote isn’t shown yet
Who Attracted Hispanic vote
Bush 2000
Could spk fluent Spanish
Brother married to Hispanic woman
Republican votes amongst Hispanics
20% 1996 to 31% 2000
2016 down to 28%
Trump= ‘They bring drugs’ ‘rapists’
Hispanics vote for trump
Over 1/4
Hispanic republican vote up 1% up on 2012
Reagan democrats
White working class
Blue collar jobs
Traditional democrat, but vote republican for Reagan
North east and midwest
Who did trumps campaign speak directly most to
Reagan democrat
Post industrial workers
Trump won 7/9 rust belt states winning 84 EC
Life expectancy for white males with no diplomas
Gone down 3 yrs in 18yrs
% white men 45-62 years olds voting trump
62%
% white college non educated men vote for trump
71%
Make up one sixth of electorate
Heartland of democrat party
Heartland
2012 how many north east states did democrats win
All of them
2016 all bar penns
Why is the northeast the heartland for democrats
Higher incomes
Better educated
What is the ‘blue wall’
Block of states upper mid west+ industrial north east
Which states did trump get when he broke the ‘blue wall’
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Why has the south gone from solid democrat to republican
Democrat straying away from religious values e.g pro life anti gay
Example to show strength of republican support in the south
Al gore lost his local state tennesee
Wouldn’t won if he’d got it
Why did Clinton win Virginia
Running mate Tim Caine from there
Wouldn’t have won other wise
1992-2016 which states did democrats get every time
California
Oregon
Washington
Which areas support democrat
Urban
What areas vote republican
Small towns
Rural
Example to show growing strength of republican in rural areas 2012
Romney won small towns/rural by 2%
Trump 27%
Who was the last president to win a west coast state
1988
George H.W Bush
Strength of republican support in Wayne county
Romney 12 point victory 2012
Trump 46 points over Clinton (71-25%)
Quote to show the nature of Trumps victory
‘Empire strikes backs’
For places that felt ‘left behind in an increasingly diverse america’
Brownstein ( The Atlantic magazine)
Where is the Bible Belt
Southern states Texas to central Virginia
What % of votes do Protestants give republicans
54-59% of the vote in the last 5 elections
Which issue affects white evangelicals significantly
Supreme Court appointments
Where did catholic’s traditionally support
Democrat party
Strong link European Catholicism among immigrant communities
1970s support wavered due to democrats support of abortion
In the last 5 elections how many times did democrats win catholic vote
3
2016 % of catholic’s who voted democrat
45%
Lowest figure in 2 party contest since 1984
What is there a correlation between attendance to church and who you support
Attend a service one a week- 56% of these said republican
Those who never attend- republicans only got 31%
When was the end of the break up of the solid south
1990s
Repubs
Allowed them to move further right
Red America
White, Protestant, wealthy rural or suburban
Conservative
Pro life, cut federal income tax
Blue America
Urban, liberal, more wealthy, support Obama care
How many states have voted for the same party candidate between 1992-2016
28
How many states have voted for the same party’s candidate for the last 5 years
37