Individual Decision Making Flashcards
Session 2 – September 9
Decision Making is Everywhere
- Decision making is a cornerstone of marketing.
- It is also very difficult to understand because:
* Decision making is multifaceted.
* Consumers are sometimes irrational.
* Marketplace options are prolific.
Basic Decision Making Model: Example- Steps from Chart
1. Problem Recognition: Richard realizes he’s fed up with a black-and-white TV that has bad sound reproduction
2. Information Search: Richard surfs the Web to learn about TVs
3. Evaluation of Alternatives: Richard compares several models in the store in terms of reputation and available features
4. Product Choice: Richard chooses one model because it has a feature that really appeals to him
5. Outcomes: Richard brings home the TV and enjoys his purchase
Step 1: Problem Recognition
Occurs when consumer sees a difference
between current state and ideal state.
But:
* Consumers often can’t identify needs, or
opportunities (especially innovative ones)
* Consumers misidentify problems
* Consumers overestimate the degree to which products will solve problems
Step 2: Information Search
Process by which consumers survey their environment for appropriate data to make reasonable decisions.
Internal search
* Scanning memory to assemble product alternative information
External search
* Obtaining information from ads, retailers, friends, family, people-watching, internet, reviews, etc.
But…
* Some consumers avoid external search and don’t do enough research.
* Don’t seek out unbiased information (or ignore it).
* Satisficing ~ Find adequate, but not best information, and solution.
Alternative Sets: Diagram
All Alternatives: -Evoked Set -Inert Set
|-Consideration Set
|-Inept Set
But:
* Miscategorize products (e.g., water ≠ coke, but both quench thirst)
* Compare only similar products
* Recall bias
* Framing effects (i.e., how we think about a category).
Decision Rules
- Heuristics
* Simple decision short-cuts - Non-compensatory
* Simpler decision models
* Cannot compensate for low standing on one
attribute by being better on another - Compensatory
* Cost/Benefit analysis
* Excelling at one dimension can make up for being
poor or other dimensions
Heuristics
- Heuristics: mental rules-of-thumb that lead to a
speedy decision (i.e., mental shortcuts)*
Fits Like a Glove
Familiar Brand Name
Market Beliefs
Country of Origin
Product Signal
Brand Loyalty
Inertia
Non-Heuristic Strategies: Attributes Matter
Evaluative criteria:
Dimensions used to judge merits of
competing options – what is important
to the consumer.
Determinant attributes:
Features we use to differentiate among
our choices.
* Criteria on which products differ carry
more weight.
Non-Compensatory
Non-compensatory:
A product with a low standing on one attribute can’t compensate for this flaw by
doing better on another attribute
Different ways to evaluate products based on attributes (all based on cutoffs):
- Set cutoffs for attributes:
- E.g., set a minimum level of performance on each attribute and eliminate all options that don’t met that level; or choose any option that surpasses the levels. - Rank attributes: - E.g. rank attributes and choose the option that performs best on the top attribute.
Compensatory
Compensatory decision rules:
High performance on one attribute can compensate
for low performance on another.
- Types of compensatory decision rules:
** Simple additive rule:*
Choose the alternative that has the largest number of positive
attributes (pro/con list!) -
Weighted additive rule:
Considers the relative importance of positive attributes, essentially
multiplying ratings by importance weights
Step 5: Outcomes
Things to Consider:
* Satisfaction:
* Disconfirmation Paradigm – the difference between a consumers
pre-purchase expectations and their post-purchase experience.
* Post-purchase dissonance:
* Does the consumer feel regret over their purchase?
* Role in consumers’ life:
* How do consumers use the product in their day to day lives. What
does the product mean to the consumer?
Decision Biases
Social Proof: The assumption that actions and attitudes of other people signal correct behaviour.
Scarcity: We place higher value on something judged to be rare or scarce.
Reciprocity: A feeling of obligation to return a favour.
Anchoring: Over-reliance on a single piece of information.
Framing: The context in which the choice is presented impacts consumers’ decisions.
Decision Biases
Mental Accounting: Consumers carry around different running tabs in their heads. Compartmentalizing income and spending into different mental accounts violates one of the basic rules of economics – that money is fungible, or interchangeable.
Sunk Cost Fallacy: Consumers are reluctant to waste something for which they have
already paid.
Prospect Theory: Consumers act differently when something is framed as a loss vs. a gain. They are risk-seeking for losses and risk-averse for gains (losses loom larger than gains). Consumers evaluations are also driven by individual events, not total outcomes.
Prospect Theory
Different Sensitivity to Losses versus Gains
** Rule #1:* People act
differently when something
is framed as a loss vs. a
gain
** Rule #2: Losses loom larger
than gains
** Rule #3: Evaluations are
driven by individual events,
not total outcomes