Final Flashcards

1
Q

A___ probability is the altered marginal probability of an event based on additional information

A

posterior

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2
Q

A dummy activity is used to show a precedence relationship, but it does not represent a:

A

passage of time

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3
Q

A shadow price reflects which of the following in a maximization problem?

A

the marginal gain in the objective that would be realized by adding one unit of a resource

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4
Q

A single-bay car wash with a Poisson arrival rate and an exponential service time has cars arriving at an average of 10 minutes apart with an average service time of 4 minutes. What is the system utilization

A

0.4

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5
Q

A single-server queuing system has average time between arrivals of 20 minutes and a service time of 10 minutes each. Assuming Poisson arrivals and exponential service times, the utilization factor is approximately:

A

0.50

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6
Q

Administrators at a university will charge students $150 to attend a seminar. It costs $3000 to reserve a room, hire an instructor, and bring in the equipment. Assume it costs $25 per student for the administrators to provide the course materials. How many students would have to register for the seminar for the university to break even?

A

24

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7
Q

Bayesian analysis involves a(n) ________ probability

A

posterior

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8
Q

Cars arrive at a single-bay car wash at an average of 6 per hour according to the Poisson distribution. The wash time averages 4 minutes per car. What is the average number of cars in line?

A

.267

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9
Q

Given an actual demand of 59, a previous forecast of 64, and an alpha of .3, what would the forecast for the next period be using simple exponential smoothing?

A

62.5

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10
Q

If t is the expected completion time for a given activity, then

A

EF=ES + t

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11
Q

If the daily demand is 50 and the lead time in days is 4, what is the reorder point?

A

200

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12
Q

In a balanced transportation model where supply equals demand:

A

all constraints are equalities

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13
Q

In multiple-server models, ________ independent servers in parallel serve a single waiting line.

A

2 or more

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14
Q

Regret is the difference between the payoff from the:

A

best decision and all other decision payoffs

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15
Q

The Hurwicz criterion multiplies the:

A

best payoff by the coefficient of optimism

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16
Q

The LS and LF are calculated using the:

A

backward pass through the network

17
Q

The critical path is the ___ path through the network

A

longest

18
Q

The first step in the shortest route solution method is to:

A

select the node with the shortest direct route from the origin

19
Q

The first step of the minimal spanning tree solution method is to:

A

select any starting node

20
Q

The maximax criterion results in the:

A

maximum if the maximum payoffs

21
Q

The maximin criterion results in the:

A

maximum of the minimum payoffs

22
Q

The minimal spanning tree problem determines the:

A

minimum total branch lengths connecting all nodes in the network

23
Q

The minimax regret criterion:

A

minimizes the maximum regret

24
Q

The shipping company manager wants to determine the best routes for the trucks to take to reach their destinations. This problem can be solved using the:

A

shortest route solution technique

25
Q

The term opportunity loss is closely related to:

A

minimax regret

26
Q

What is not considered a measure of system performance in a queuing analysis?

A

service time

27
Q

Which of the following will not decrease system utilization?

A

increase in arrival rate

28
Q

_____ is the difference between the forecast and actual demand

A

Forecast error